{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Doris Matsui, 12+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P12","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 12 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Doris Matsui, 12+ pts","description":"If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 7th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed.\n\nIf Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.096,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","event_title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P16","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P16","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 16 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Doris Matsui, 16+ pts","description":"If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 7th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed.\n\nIf Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","event_title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Doris Matsui, 20+ pts","description":"If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 7th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed.\n\nIf Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","event_title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P4","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 4 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Doris Matsui, 4+ pts","description":"If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 7th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed.\n\nIf Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","event_title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P8","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT-P8","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doris Matsui in CA-07 be at least 8 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Doris Matsui, 8+ pts","description":"If Doris Matsui wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 7th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doris Matsui minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doris Matsui if Doris Matsui wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doris Matsui loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doris Matsui runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doris Matsui will be summed.\n\nIf Doris Matsui wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doris Matsui loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doris Matsui ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doris Matsui is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-7th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca07dmat","event_title":"California's 7th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA07DMAT","as_of":"2026-09-09T05:05:32.411648Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 7th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}