{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Connie Chan, 12+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P12","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 12 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Connie Chan, 12+ pts","description":"If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 11th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Connie Chan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Connie Chan if Connie Chan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Connie Chan loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Connie Chan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Connie Chan will be summed.\n\nIf Connie Chan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Connie Chan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Connie Chan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Connie Chan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","event_title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P16","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P16","question":"Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 16 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Connie Chan, 16+ pts","description":"If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 11th District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Connie Chan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Connie Chan if Connie Chan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Connie Chan loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Connie Chan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Connie Chan will be summed.\n\nIf Connie Chan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Connie Chan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Connie Chan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Connie Chan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.040999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","event_title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Connie Chan, 20+ pts","description":"If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 11th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Connie Chan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Connie Chan if Connie Chan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Connie Chan loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Connie Chan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Connie Chan will be summed.\n\nIf Connie Chan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Connie Chan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Connie Chan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Connie Chan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","event_title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P4","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 4 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Connie Chan, 4+ pts","description":"If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 11th District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Connie Chan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Connie Chan if Connie Chan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Connie Chan loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Connie Chan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Connie Chan will be summed.\n\nIf Connie Chan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Connie Chan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Connie Chan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Connie Chan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-09T02:57:47.921216Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-09T02:57:47.921216Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","event_title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P8","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA-P8","question":"Will the margin of victory for Connie Chan in CA-11 be at least 8 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Connie Chan, 8+ pts","description":"If Connie Chan wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 11th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Connie Chan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Connie Chan if Connie Chan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Connie Chan loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Connie Chan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Connie Chan will be summed.\n\nIf Connie Chan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Connie Chan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Connie Chan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Connie Chan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-11th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca11ccha","event_title":"California's 11th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA11CCHA","as_of":"2026-09-09T04:11:20.010803Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 11th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}