{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","as_of":"2026-10-24T05:17:06.135615Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 12th District margin of victory\" — 13 markets; highest \"Lateefah Simon, 10+ pts\" at 93% as of 2026-10-20 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":510.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.41760540008545,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":510.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Lateefah Simon, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.93,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-20T15:39:51.065802Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-20T15:39:51.065802Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":13,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 10+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.02200000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 5+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.93,0.06999999999999995],"probability":0.93,"spread":0.02200000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P15","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 15 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 15+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.929,0.07099999999999995],"probability":0.929,"spread":0.02200000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.926,0.07399999999999995],"probability":0.926,"spread":0.02400000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P25","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 25 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 25+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.917,0.08299999999999996],"probability":0.917,"spread":0.025000000000000022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P30","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P30","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 30 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.03399999999999992,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P35","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P35","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 35 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 35+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15000000000000002],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.06799999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P40","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P40","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 40 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 40+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.21999999999999997],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.09600000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.0441389083862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.78,0.78]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P45","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P45","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 45 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 45+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":55.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.0441389083862305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P50","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 50 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 50+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":50.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.812468528747559,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.54,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P55","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 55 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 55+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 55 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T07:43:18.222392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P60","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 60 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 60+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 60 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T07:43:18.222392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P65","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA12LSIM-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for Lateefah Simon in CA-12 be at least 65 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Lateefah Simon, 65+ pts","description":"If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 12th District by 65 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Lateefah Simon minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Lateefah Simon if Lateefah Simon wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Lateefah Simon loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Lateefah Simon runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Lateefah Simon will be summed.\n\nIf Lateefah Simon wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Lateefah Simon loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Lateefah Simon ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Lateefah Simon is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-10T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-24T02:30:08.695813Z","added_at":"2026-10-10T07:43:18.222392Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-12th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim","event_title":"California's 12th District margin of victory","chart_24h":null}]}