{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 10+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P15","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 15 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 15+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.077,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 20+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P25","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 25 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 25+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.041999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P30","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P30","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 30 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 30+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.041999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T22:58:48.526432Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Aisha Wahab in CA-14 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Aisha Wahab, 5+ pts","description":"If Aisha Wahab wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 14th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Aisha Wahab minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Aisha Wahab if Aisha Wahab wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Aisha Wahab loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Aisha Wahab runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Aisha Wahab will be summed.\n\nIf Aisha Wahab wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Aisha Wahab loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Aisha Wahab ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Aisha Wahab is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-14th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca14awah","event_title":"California's 14th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA14AWAH","as_of":"2026-09-09T06:41:32.314319Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 14th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}