{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Angélica María Dueñas, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29adue","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Angélica María Dueñas, 10+ pts","description":"If Angélica María Dueñas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Angélica María Dueñas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Angélica María Dueñas if Angélica María Dueñas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Angélica María Dueñas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angélica María Dueñas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Angélica María Dueñas will be summed.\n\nIf Angélica María Dueñas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Angélica María Dueñas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Angélica María Dueñas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Angélica María Dueñas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.053,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29adue","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Angélica María Dueñas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Angélica María Dueñas, 5+ pts","description":"If Angélica María Dueñas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Angélica María Dueñas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Angélica María Dueñas if Angélica María Dueñas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Angélica María Dueñas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Angélica María Dueñas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Angélica María Dueñas will be summed.\n\nIf Angélica María Dueñas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Angélica María Dueñas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Angélica María Dueñas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Angélica María Dueñas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.076,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29adue","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29ADUE","as_of":"2026-09-09T08:08:09.037155Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 29th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}