{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luz Rivas, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 10+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P15","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 15 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 15+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 20+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P25","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 25 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 25+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P30","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P30","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 30 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 30+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10300000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P35","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P35","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 35 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 35+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P40","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P40","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 40 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 40+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.059000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luz Rivas in CA-29 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Luz Rivas, 5+ pts","description":"If Luz Rivas wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 29th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Luz Rivas minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Luz Rivas if Luz Rivas wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Luz Rivas loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luz Rivas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Luz Rivas will be summed.\n\nIf Luz Rivas wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Luz Rivas loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Luz Rivas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Luz Rivas is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T20:48:55.250086Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-29th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca29lriv","event_title":"California's 29th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA29LRIV","as_of":"2026-09-09T09:01:48.474356Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 29th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}