{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 10+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09799999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P15","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 15 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 15+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 20+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P25","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P25","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 25 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 25+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P30","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P30","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 30 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 30+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10000000000000003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P35","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P35","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 35 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 35+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P40","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P40","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 40 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 40+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P45","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P45","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 45 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 45+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.10300000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 5+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P50","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Sydney Kamlager-Dove in CA-37 be at least 50 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Sydney Kamlager-Dove, 50+ pts","description":"If Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 37th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Sydney Kamlager-Dove minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Sydney Kamlager-Dove if Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Sydney Kamlager-Dove will be summed.\n\nIf Sydney Kamlager-Dove wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Sydney Kamlager-Dove ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Sydney Kamlager-Dove is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.081,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T21:04:55.046343Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-37th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca37skam","event_title":"California's 37th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA37SKAM","as_of":"2026-09-09T05:05:34.271922Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 37th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}