{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","title":"California's 40th District margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Young Kim, 10+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:13.947578Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-40th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca40ykim","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P10","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 10 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 10+ pts","description":"If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 40th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.091,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T14:05:12.952401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T14:05:12.952401Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-40th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca40ykim","event_title":"California's 40th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P15","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P15","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 15 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 15+ pts","description":"If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 40th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07100000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T14:05:12.952401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T14:05:12.952401Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-40th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca40ykim","event_title":"California's 40th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P20","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P20","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 20 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 20+ pts","description":"If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 40th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.051,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:20.038320Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:41:20.038320Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-40th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca40ykim","event_title":"California's 40th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in CA-40 be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 5+ pts","description":"If Young Kim wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives  election in California's 40th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-08T18:37:59Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T17:49:03.591428Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T17:49:03.591428Z","added_at":"2026-09-08T18:43:14.056746Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/californias-40th-district-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca40ykim","event_title":"California's 40th District margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CA40YKIM","as_of":"2026-09-25T22:01:52.519011Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California's 40th District margin of victory\" — top market at 0% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}