{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","ticker":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","title":"California Governor Primary margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T23:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":33835.44,"volume_24hr":1421.92,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.55997085571289,"normalized_volume":28.63983726501465,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11308.73,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:34:38.560411Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:34:38.560411Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-cagovpxbece","chart_24h":[578.4,578.08,573.08,665.78,1070.58,1061.93,816.25,1016.25,1016.25,1504.37,1504.37,1668.37,1483.37,1421.92],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P3","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election in California be at least 3 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts","description":"If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.06599999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T23:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":9361.53,"volume_24hr":916.12,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":916.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.343746185302734,"normalized_volume":25.631122589111328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:20:23.567186Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:20:23.567186Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-cagovpxbece","event_title":"California Governor Primary margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.935,0.915,0.89,0.96,0.939,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P5","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election in California be at least 5 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 5+ pts","description":"If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.081,0.919],"probability":0.081,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T23:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":14377.35,"volume_24hr":505.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.129,"volume_24h_change":-72.59999999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.292378425598145,"normalized_volume":28.09247589111328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:35:50.950936Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:34:38.723894Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-cagovpxbece","event_title":"California Governor Primary margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P1","event_id":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","slug":"KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the governor primary election in California be at least 1 percentage points?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 1+ pts","description":"If Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 gubernatorial primary election in California by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-04T23:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":10096.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.056550979614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:02:47.733220Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T16:01:16.167317Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-cagovpxbece","event_title":"California Governor Primary margin of victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMIDTERMMOV-CAGOVPXBECE","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:42:29.800303Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California Governor Primary margin of victory\" — top market at 91% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}