{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","ticker":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":799.29,"volume_24hr":425.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.767814636230469,"normalized_volume":12.128729820251465,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":789.29,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hodge Conjecture","top_outcome_probability":0.47,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-151.24,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.550008Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.550008Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.442177Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","chart_24h":[774.29,400.0,410.0,425.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-HODGE","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-HODGE","question":"Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Hodge Conjecture","description":"If Hodge Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":383.24,"volume_24hr":216.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-151.24,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.982351303100586,"normalized_volume":11.025500297546387,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.781606Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.781606Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":[0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-BSD","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-BSD","question":"Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture","description":"If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":416.05,"volume_24hr":209.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-198.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.861040115356445,"normalized_volume":11.331194877624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.781606Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T02:38:11.781606Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-PNP","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-PNP","question":"Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"P versus NP Problem","description":"If P versus NP Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T04:56:16.745455Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T04:56:16.745455Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-RIEMANN","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-RIEMANN","question":"Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Riemann Hypothesis","description":"If Riemann Hypothesis is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T04:56:16.745455Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T04:56:16.745455Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-YANG","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-YANG","question":"Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem","description":"If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T05:09:22.924101Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T05:09:22.924101Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","as_of":"2026-09-15T05:10:36.253002Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?\" — top market at 47% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}