{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","as_of":"2026-11-06T21:17:03.151425Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?\" — \"Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem\" leads at 38% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-11-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","ticker":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":8393.869999999999,"volume_24hr":23.51,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.140113592147827,"normalized_volume":21.60028839111328,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2924.26,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem","top_outcome_probability":0.38,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:15.761063Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:15.761063Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.442177Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","chart_24h":[29.85,24.85,23.51],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-HODGE","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-HODGE","question":"Will Hodge be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Hodge Conjecture","description":"If Hodge Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.6599999999999999],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.03999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2785.33,"volume_24hr":14.05,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.3399999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.678384304046631,"normalized_volume":17.654064178466797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:15.937106Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T20:18:15.937106Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":[0.34,0.34]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-BSD","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-BSD","question":"Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture","description":"If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":719.56,"volume_24hr":9.46,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.007823944091797,"normalized_volume":12.147369384765625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T19:44:35.075019Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T19:44:35.075019Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-YANG","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-YANG","question":"Will Yang–Mills be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem","description":"If Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":936.62,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.139036178588867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T16:26:34.490657Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T16:26:34.490657Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-RIEMANN","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-RIEMANN","question":"Will Riemann be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"Riemann Hypothesis","description":"If Riemann Hypothesis is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-12T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2045-01-07T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2045-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":356.09,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.693575859069824,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-11-06T07:40:52.004126Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-06T07:40:52.004126Z","added_at":"2026-09-12T22:14:38.580823Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmillenniumnext/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next/kxmillenniumnext-45","event_title":"Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-PNP","event_id":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45","slug":"KXMILLENNIUMNEXT-45-PNP","question":"Will P vs NP be solved next before 2045?","group_item_title":"P versus NP Problem","description":"If P versus NP Problem is the first Millennium Prize Problem solved after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nA Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:\n\nA complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.\nThe Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.\nAt least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.\n\nIf multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. 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