{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","ticker":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":43225.42,"volume_24hr":171.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.427327156066895,"normalized_volume":25.45993995666504,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":11154.36,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hartzell Gray 3rd","top_outcome_probability":0.68,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-216.37000000000003,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:34.041073Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:34.041073Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.435464Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","chart_24h":[490.61,562.52,494.52,487.02,555.45,530.45,559.21,305.21000000000004,233.21,231.76,171.1],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-H3RD","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-H3RD","question":"Will Hartzell Gray 3rd be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Hartzell Gray 3rd","description":"If Hartzell Gray 3rd wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.68,0.31999999999999995],"probability":0.68,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12249.63,"volume_24hr":170.1,"prob_24h_change":0.040000000000000036,"volume_24h_change":-216.37000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.103192329406738,"normalized_volume":23.06068229675293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:46:52.122602Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:45:34.158758Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.68]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JCAS","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JCAS","question":"Will Jeanette Cass be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Jeanette Cass","description":"If Jeanette Cass wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":6545.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.1835707426071167,"normalized_volume":20.092222213745117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T07:23:48.223379Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T16:45:30.594557Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JHER","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JHER","question":"Will Jordan Herrera be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Jordan Herrera","description":"If Jordan Herrera wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":2271.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-140.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.545293807983398,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T11:56:26.854207Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T11:55:00.162355Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-GRIC","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-GRIC","question":"Will G Rick be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"G Rick","description":"If G Rick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5520.13,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.32105255126953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:58:58.979547Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:58:58.979547Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-AROG","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-AROG","question":"Will Ashleigh Rogers be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Ashleigh Rogers","description":"If Ashleigh Rogers wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":6639.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.157482147216797,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T17:28:09.536267Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T17:28:09.536267Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-RMIL","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-RMIL","question":"Will Randy Miller be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Randy Miller","description":"If Randy Miller wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5708.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.47140884399414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-24T14:34:39.325601Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-23T13:28:25.373403Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-WRUS","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-WRUS","question":"Will Wayne Russell be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Wayne Russell","description":"If Wayne Russell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":4292.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.209178924560547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:19:03.367538Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-16T09:26:14.877495Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","as_of":"2026-07-25T15:06:15.945565Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MO-04 Democratic nominee?\" — top market at 68% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}