{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","ticker":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":24579.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.9110164642334,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2258.82,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Hartzell Gray 3rd","top_outcome_probability":0.57,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-31T15:45:31.882101Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T15:45:31.882101Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.435464Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-H3RD","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-H3RD","question":"Will Hartzell Gray 3rd be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Hartzell Gray 3rd","description":"If Hartzell Gray 3rd wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43000000000000005],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":1144.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.205648422241211,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:25:28.348405Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T20:16:50.191360Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.57,0.57]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-RMIL","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-RMIL","question":"Will Randy Miller be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Randy Miller","description":"If Randy Miller wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":4772.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.993389129638672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:15:59.817942Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:59.879711Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-AROG","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-AROG","question":"Will Ashleigh Rogers be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Ashleigh Rogers","description":"If Ashleigh Rogers wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5305.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.546550750732422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:03:35.145799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T03:32:56.020685Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JCAS","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JCAS","question":"Will Jeanette Cass be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Jeanette Cass","description":"If Jeanette Cass wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":5602.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.83381462097168,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:59.879711Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-GRIC","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-GRIC","question":"Will G Rick be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"G Rick","description":"If G Rick wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3802.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.829484939575195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:59.879711Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-WRUS","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-WRUS","question":"Will Wayne Russell be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Wayne Russell","description":"If Wayne Russell wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":3954.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.028005599975586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:15:59.817942Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T22:54:59.879711Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JHER","event_id":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","slug":"KXMOPRIMARY-04D26-JHER","question":"Will Jordan Herrera be the Democratic nominee for MO-04?","group_item_title":"Jordan Herrera","description":"If Jordan Herrera wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 MO-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:54:55.193273Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-28T12:17:05.642090Z","added_at":"2026-05-19T14:02:57.528558Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmoprimary/mo-04-democratic-nominee/kxmoprimary-04d26","event_title":"MO-04 Democratic nominee?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMOPRIMARY-04D26","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:01:16.845686Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"MO-04 Democratic nominee?\" — top market at 57% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}