{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","ticker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":135524.12,"volume_24hr":3448.61,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.55714225769043,"normalized_volume":38.43952560424805,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":43320.18,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Marjorie Taylor 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announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":46569.14,"volume_24hr":1257.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":1234.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.155967712402344,"normalized_volume":35.966026306152344,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T03:05:16.711368Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T03:02:58.238442Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":25536.77,"volume_24hr":139.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":137.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.141688346862793,"normalized_volume":32.057743072509766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T02:06:23.782720Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T02:03:22.750747Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","question":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":"If John Fetterman leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf John Fetterman changes their official party registration from Democratic to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic  party, or is expelled from the Democratic  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.081,0.919],"probability":0.081,"spread":0.052000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":8790.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.673969268798828,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T18:08:13.213728Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T18:08:13.213728Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081,0.081]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-DBAC","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-DBAC","question":"Will Don Bacon leave the 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States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T16:19:29.240148Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T16:19:29.240148Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.065,0.065,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","as_of":"2026-08-08T05:05:06.248017Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}