{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","ticker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":106341.94,"volume_24hr":4605.54,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.835735321044922,"normalized_volume":33.314388275146484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":33680.61,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Marjorie Taylor 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independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.45999999999999996],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":34768.83,"volume_24hr":4459.34,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":4402.75,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.9751033782959,"normalized_volume":31.986404418945312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T01:23:57.629969Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T01:22:04.376389Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.54]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-JFET","question":"Will JFET leave the John Fetterman?","group_item_title":"John Fetterman","description":"If John Fetterman leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf John Fetterman changes their official party registration from Democratic to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic  party, or is expelled from the Democratic  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.07400000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":19325.46,"volume_24hr":139.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":139.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.303770065307617,"normalized_volume":28.49435806274414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T23:45:55.935856Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T23:44:16.694227Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","question":"Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":"If Thomas Massie leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Thomas Massie changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.052000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":9426.82,"volume_24hr":6.69,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":6.69,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4129291772842407,"normalized_volume":24.500181198120117,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":24396.33,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.855661392211914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T17:01:04.853667Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T17:01:04.853667Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","question":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?","group_item_title":"Henry Cuellar","description":"If Henry Cuellar leaves or announces that they are leaving the Democratic party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Henry Cuellar changes their official party registration from Democratic to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic  party, or is expelled from the Democratic  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.14,0.86],"probability":0.14,"spread":0.06900000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":8783.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.12291145324707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.07500000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":9641.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.620885848999023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T06:45:21.906894Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-30T07:17:52.538650Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","as_of":"2026-06-24T01:27:14.959542Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?\" — top market at 54% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}