{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","as_of":"2026-10-18T19:08:45.364265Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?\" — 6 markets; highest \"John Fetterman\" at 11% as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","ticker":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 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independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Democratic  party, or is expelled from the Democratic  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":58360.88,"volume_24hr":296.45,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":105.39999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.375039100646973,"normalized_volume":37.49232864379883,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T19:04:31.412517Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T19:04:31.412517Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-TMAS","question":"Will Thomas Massie leave the Republican?","group_item_title":"Thomas Massie","description":"If Thomas Massie leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Thomas Massie changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.033,0.967],"probability":0.033,"spread":0.028999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":12970.61,"volume_24hr":12.54,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.381000518798828,"normalized_volume":27.920738220214844,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:06:16.897931Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:06:16.897931Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.033,0.033]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","question":"Will Marjorie Taylor Greene leave the Republican party?","group_item_title":"Marjorie Taylor Greene","description":"If Marjorie Taylor Greene leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Marjorie Taylor Greene changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-10-13T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-18T15:38:01Z","result":"yes","volume":50674.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":36.533573150634766,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-19T11:28:11.413457Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T11:28:11.413457Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-LMURK","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-LMURK","question":"Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican?","group_item_title":"Lisa Murkowski","description":"If Lisa Murkowski leaves or announces that they are leaving the Republican party before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nIf Lisa Murkowski changes their official party registration from Republican to another party or to independent/unaffiliated status, or announces they are no longer a member of the Republican  party, or is expelled from the Republican  party by official party action, then the market will resolve to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.091,0.909],"probability":0.091,"spread":0.03900000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":30822.23,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":33.25725555419922,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United 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Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.024999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-03T22:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":9798.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.291719436645508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T15:06:16.897931Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T15:06:16.897931Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmtgswitch/who-will-switch-or-leave-their-party-in-2026/kxmtgswitch-27jan","event_title":"Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","event_id":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN","slug":"KXMTGSWITCH-27JAN-CUEL","question":"Will Henry Cuellar leave the Democratic?","group_item_title":"Henry 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