{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","ticker":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","title":"NASCAR Matchup: Wallace vs McDowell","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3237.73,"volume_24hr":1403.51,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.494871139526367,"normalized_volume":15.801156044006348,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2455.59,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Michael McDowell beats Bubba Wallace","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":197.16999999999996,"updated_at":"2026-06-28T22:56:38.905551Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T22:56:38.905551Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.353411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-wallace-vs-mcdowell/kxnascarh2h-toysm26buwamimc","chart_24h":[906.48,897.48,897.48,1051.44,1053.44,1058.44,1059.44,965.44,1040.41,1075.46,1286.28,1301.6599999999999,1301.6599999999999,1139.03,699.04,708.02,1322.02,1326.04,1417.51],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC-MIMC","event_id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC-MIMC","question":"Will Michael McDowell beat Bubba Wallace at the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"Michael McDowell beats Bubba Wallace","description":"If Michael McDowell achieves a better finishing position than Bubba Wallace in the Toyota / Save Mart 350  Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdditional Clarifications:\nNon-Participation: If one or both competitors don't participate (not entered, withdrawn, or absent) or did not qualify (DNQ) for the session, all markets resolve to a fair market price.\nBoth Disqualified (DSQ): If both competitors are disqualified (DSQ), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Disqualified (DSQ): If only one competitor is disqualified (DSQ), that competitor resolves to No.\nBoth Did Not Start (DNS): If both competitors did not start the session (DNS), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Did Not Start (DNS): If one competitor did not start (DNS) and the other starts the session, the competitor that started resolves to Yes.\nBoth Did Not Finish (DNF): If both competitors start the race but neither finishes (both DNF), the competitor who completed more full laps resolves to Yes. If they completed the same number of full laps, all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Finishes, One Doesn’t (DNF): If one competitor is classified as a finisher and the other isn't, the finisher resolves to Yes.\nBoth Finish: If both competitors finish the session, the competitor with the better position resolves to Yes.\nIdentical Results: If both competitors achieve identical results (same position, same laps, etc.), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOutcome Hierarchy: Classified finish   DNF (by laps)   DNS   DSQ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.09999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","volume":1902.08,"volume_24hr":905.65,"prob_24h_change":0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":197.16999999999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.19577980041504,"normalized_volume":16.86431121826172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T22:43:48.989430Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T22:43:08.484450Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.471001Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-wallace-vs-mcdowell/kxnascarh2h-toysm26buwamimc","event_title":"NASCAR Matchup: Wallace vs McDowell","chart_24h":[0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.85,0.73,0.89,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC-BUWA","event_id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC-BUWA","question":"Will Bubba Wallace beat Michael McDowell at the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"Bubba Wallace beats Michael McDowell","description":"If Bubba Wallace achieves a better finishing position than Michael McDowell in the Toyota / Save Mart 350  Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdditional Clarifications:\nNon-Participation: If one or both competitors don't participate (not entered, withdrawn, or absent) or did not qualify (DNQ) for the session, all markets resolve to a fair market price.\nBoth Disqualified (DSQ): If both competitors are disqualified (DSQ), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Disqualified (DSQ): If only one competitor is disqualified (DSQ), that competitor resolves to No.\nBoth Did Not Start (DNS): If both competitors did not start the session (DNS), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Did Not Start (DNS): If one competitor did not start (DNS) and the other starts the session, the competitor that started resolves to Yes.\nBoth Did Not Finish (DNF): If both competitors start the race but neither finishes (both DNF), the competitor who completed more full laps resolves to Yes. If they completed the same number of full laps, all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Finishes, One Doesn’t (DNF): If one competitor is classified as a finisher and the other isn't, the finisher resolves to Yes.\nBoth Finish: If both competitors finish the session, the competitor with the better position resolves to Yes.\nIdentical Results: If both competitors achieve identical results (same position, same laps, etc.), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOutcome Hierarchy: Classified finish   DNF (by laps)   DNS   DSQ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","volume":1335.65,"volume_24hr":497.86,"prob_24h_change":-0.31,"volume_24h_change":294.86,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.47867202758789,"normalized_volume":15.323134422302246,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-28T22:57:18.935340Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-28T22:56:39.072746Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.471001Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-wallace-vs-mcdowell/kxnascarh2h-toysm26buwamimc","event_title":"NASCAR Matchup: Wallace vs McDowell","chart_24h":[0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.62,0.16,0.11,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26BUWAMIMC","as_of":"2026-06-28T23:13:36.775275Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NASCAR Matchup: Wallace vs McDowell\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}