{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","ticker":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","title":"NASCAR Matchup: Larson vs Herbst","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-29T00:09:01Z","volume":3196.1600000000003,"volume_24hr":2725.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.14295768737793,"normalized_volume":15.732438087463379,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3029.1200000000003,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"TOYSM26KYLARIHE","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Kyle Larson beats Riley Herbst","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2028.5700000000002,"updated_at":"2026-06-29T00:21:10.982022Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T00:21:10.982022Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.353411Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-larson-vs-herbst/kxnascarh2h-toysm26kylarihe","chart_24h":[618.0,663.0,674.0,676.0,678.0,682.0,582.0,582.0,600.0,603.0,606.29,631.26,696.89,724.98,726.98,766.98,2725.09,2725.09],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE-KYLA","event_id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE-KYLA","question":"Will Kyle Larson beat Riley Herbst at the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"Kyle Larson beats Riley Herbst","description":"If Kyle Larson achieves a better finishing position than Riley Herbst in the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdditional Clarifications:\nNon-Participation: If one or both competitors don't participate (not entered, withdrawn, or absent) or did not qualify (DNQ) for the session, all markets resolve to a fair market price.\nBoth Disqualified (DSQ): If both competitors are disqualified (DSQ), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Disqualified (DSQ): If only one competitor is disqualified (DSQ), that competitor resolves to No.\nBoth Did Not Start (DNS): If both competitors did not start the session (DNS), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Did Not Start (DNS): If one competitor did not start (DNS) and the other starts the session, the competitor that started resolves to Yes.\nBoth Did Not Finish (DNF): If both competitors start the race but neither finishes (both DNF), the competitor who completed more full laps resolves to Yes. If they completed the same number of full laps, all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Finishes, One Doesn’t (DNF): If one competitor is classified as a finisher and the other isn't, the finisher resolves to Yes.\nBoth Finish: If both competitors finish the session, the competitor with the better position resolves to Yes.\nIdentical Results: If both competitors achieve identical results (same position, same laps, etc.), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOutcome Hierarchy: Classified finish   DNF (by laps)   DNS   DSQ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-29T00:09:01Z","volume":2690.57,"volume_24hr":2545.57,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":2028.5700000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.853593826293945,"normalized_volume":18.448217391967773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T02:59:47.381224Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T00:21:10.991441Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.471001Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-larson-vs-herbst/kxnascarh2h-toysm26kylarihe","event_title":"NASCAR Matchup: Larson vs Herbst","chart_24h":[0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE-RIHE","event_id":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","slug":"KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE-RIHE","question":"Will Riley Herbst beat Kyle Larson at the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"Riley Herbst beats Kyle Larson","description":"If Riley Herbst achieves a better finishing position than Kyle Larson in the Toyota / Save Mart 350 Main Race originally scheduled for June 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAdditional Clarifications:\nNon-Participation: If one or both competitors don't participate (not entered, withdrawn, or absent) or did not qualify (DNQ) for the session, all markets resolve to a fair market price.\nBoth Disqualified (DSQ): If both competitors are disqualified (DSQ), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Disqualified (DSQ): If only one competitor is disqualified (DSQ), that competitor resolves to No.\nBoth Did Not Start (DNS): If both competitors did not start the session (DNS), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Did Not Start (DNS): If one competitor did not start (DNS) and the other starts the session, the competitor that started resolves to Yes.\nBoth Did Not Finish (DNF): If both competitors start the race but neither finishes (both DNF), the competitor who completed more full laps resolves to Yes. If they completed the same number of full laps, all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOne Finishes, One Doesn’t (DNF): If one competitor is classified as a finisher and the other isn't, the finisher resolves to Yes.\nBoth Finish: If both competitors finish the session, the competitor with the better position resolves to Yes.\nIdentical Results: If both competitors achieve identical results (same position, same laps, etc.), all markets resolve to 50/50.\nOutcome Hierarchy: Classified finish   DNF (by laps)   DNS   DSQ","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-23T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-07-05T23:30:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-29T00:09:01Z","volume":505.59,"volume_24hr":179.52,"prob_24h_change":-0.24,"volume_24h_change":78.52000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.031293869018555,"normalized_volume":11.470675468444824,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T00:21:10.991441Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T00:21:10.991441Z","added_at":"2026-06-23T21:12:17.471001Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnascarh2h/nascar-matchup-larson-vs-herbst/kxnascarh2h-toysm26kylarihe","event_title":"NASCAR Matchup: Larson vs Herbst","chart_24h":[0.25,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNASCARH2H-TOYSM26KYLARIHE","as_of":"2026-06-29T03:46:06.496642Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NASCAR Matchup: Larson vs Herbst\" — top market at 99% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}