{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","ticker":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","slug":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","title":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T17:29:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T18:29:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4586.5599999999995,"volume_24hr":4586.5599999999995,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.79059600830078,"normalized_volume":18.56175994873047,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3490.66,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Jan 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.58,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.58,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1834.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-16T16:43:41.401098Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T16:43:41.401098Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T17:31:40.118807Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnatlguarddc/will-the-national-guard-be-deployed-to-washington-dc/kxnatlguarddc-26-dc","chart_24h":[3277.0,3394.0,3766.0,3919.0,3927.66,4260.66,4360.66,4571.5599999999995,4586.5599999999995],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC-JAN01","event_id":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","slug":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC-JAN01","question":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C. before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Washington, D.C. on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Washington, D.C., not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves YES:\n\nGovernor activates Guard with deployment to Washington, D.C.\nGuard units arrive in Washington, D.C. on emergency orders\nFederal activation placing Guard in Washington, D.C.\nInter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Washington, D.C.\nPre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Washington, D.C.\nAny number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves NO:\n\nDeployment announcements without actual arrival\nGuard placed on standby/alert status only\nUnits staged outside Washington, D.C. without entering\nTraining exercises or routine drills\nGuard members traveling through Washington, D.C. to another destination\nPlanning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\nOff-duty Guard members acting as civilians\nGuard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\nRecruitment or community relations activities\nCanceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\nAt least one Guard member must physically arrive in Washington, D.C..\nDeployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\nIf deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\nPresence for transit only doesn't count.\nRe-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Washington, D.C. counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\nBoth Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\nFederal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T17:29:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T18:29:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T18:29:00Z","volume":1834.0,"volume_24hr":1834.0,"prob_24h_change":0.58,"volume_24h_change":1834.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.056772232055664,"normalized_volume":16.442991256713867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T16:45:32.711005Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T16:43:41.524134Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T17:31:40.216136Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnatlguarddc/will-the-national-guard-be-deployed-to-washington-dc/kxnatlguarddc-26-dc","event_title":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC-SEP01","event_id":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","slug":"KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC-SEP01","question":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C. before Sep 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2026","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Washington, D.C. on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Washington, D.C., not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves YES:\n\nGovernor activates Guard with deployment to Washington, D.C.\nGuard units arrive in Washington, D.C. on emergency orders\nFederal activation placing Guard in Washington, D.C.\nInter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Washington, D.C.\nPre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Washington, D.C.\nAny number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves NO:\n\nDeployment announcements without actual arrival\nGuard placed on standby/alert status only\nUnits staged outside Washington, D.C. without entering\nTraining exercises or routine drills\nGuard members traveling through Washington, D.C. to another destination\nPlanning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\nOff-duty Guard members acting as civilians\nGuard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\nRecruitment or community relations activities\nCanceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\nAt least one Guard member must physically arrive in Washington, D.C..\nDeployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\nIf deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\nPresence for transit only doesn't count.\nRe-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Washington, D.C. counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\nBoth Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\nFederal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-15T17:29:00Z","end_date":"2026-09-01T17:29:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-01T17:29:00Z","volume":2752.56,"volume_24hr":2752.56,"prob_24h_change":0.46,"volume_24h_change":2752.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.281675338745117,"normalized_volume":18.267017364501953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-16T11:51:01.464950Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-16T11:49:17.760644Z","added_at":"2026-06-15T17:31:40.216136Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnatlguarddc/will-the-national-guard-be-deployed-to-washington-dc/kxnatlguarddc-26-dc","event_title":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.95,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNATLGUARDDC-26-DC","as_of":"2026-06-16T18:30:45.088333Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Will the National Guard be deployed to Washington, D.C.?\" — top market at 46% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}