{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNBERRECESSQ","ticker":"KXNBERRECESSQ","slug":"KXNBERRECESSQ","title":"When will the next US recession start?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-03-19T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-31T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":503284.1,"volume_24hr":1268.1,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.293241500854492,"normalized_volume":46.330223083496094,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":178490.24,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Q1 2026","top_outcome_probability":0.21,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.16399999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1210.1,"updated_at":"2026-05-31T06:02:05.524534Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T06:02:05.524534Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnberrecessq/when-will-the-next-us-recession-start/kxnberrecessq","chart_24h":[154.0,16.0,10.0,7.0,1.0,0.0,1268.1],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNBERRECESSQ-Q1-2026","event_id":"KXNBERRECESSQ","slug":"KXNBERRECESSQ-Q1-2026","question":"When will the next U.S. recession start?","group_item_title":"Q1 2026","description":"If the NBER declares the peak of American business activity predating a recession to be in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nClarification 4/15/25 3:00 AM ET: The determination for this market will be based on which quarter NBER highlights (independent of the month they highlight). 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