{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","as_of":"2026-10-31T04:37:34.457392Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Arch Manning Next Team\" — \"Stays at Texas\" leads at 53% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-31 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","ticker":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","title":"Arch Manning Next Team","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3701.85,"volume_24hr":2624.64,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.297773361206055,"normalized_volume":18.045167922973633,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3430.6600000000003,"categories":["Sports"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Stays at Texas","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1153.7,"updated_at":"2026-10-31T03:41:07.033564Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T03:41:07.033564Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.099045Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","chart_24h":[770.9100000000001,770.9100000000001,788.26,788.1500000000001,696.82,706.12,98.65,2624.37,2624.64],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-TEX","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-TEX","question":"Arch Manning to stay at Texas before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Stays at Texas","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to be staying at Texas after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1533.52,"volume_24hr":1317.03,"prob_24h_change":0.08000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":1153.7,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.64105224609375,"normalized_volume":16.75308609008789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T04:27:39.886045Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T04:27:39.886045Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":[0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-DRAFT","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-DRAFT","question":"Arch Manning to declare for the NFL Draft before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Declare for the Draft","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to have declared for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.32,0.6799999999999999],"probability":0.32,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":1307.61,"volume_24hr":1307.61,"prob_24h_change":0.32,"volume_24h_change":1307.61,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.599855422973633,"normalized_volume":16.03361701965332,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T01:15:08.457479Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T01:15:08.457479Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":[0.0,0.31,0.32]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-MISS","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-MISS","question":"Arch Manning to join Ole Miss before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Ole Miss","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to be joining the Ole Miss college football team after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":77.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.909109115600586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T00:59:52.245801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T00:59:52.245801Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-UGA","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-UGA","question":"Arch Manning to join Georgia before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Georgia","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to be joining the Georgia college football team after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":783.71,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-607.47,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.829951286315918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-31T00:59:52.245801Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-31T00:59:52.245801Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":[0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-RETIRE","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-RETIRE","question":"Arch Manning to retire or not be enrolled at a DI school before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to be retiring or not enrolled at a DI school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:31:54.826499Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:31:54.826499Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-TENN","event_id":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN","slug":"KXNCAAFTRANSFER-27AMAN-TENN","question":"Arch Manning to join Tennessee before Feb 2, 2027","group_item_title":"Tennessee","description":"If Arch Manning is announced to be joining the Tennessee college football team after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nStays at Texas: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning officially withdraws his name from the NCAA Transfer Portal or announces withdrawal, AND is enrolled and on the roster after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027. If Arch Manning never enters the transfer portal and remains on his current team by Feb 2, 2027, then the market for staying with his current team will resolve to Yes.\nDeclare for the Draft: Resolves Yes if Arch Manning declares for the NFL Draft after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency. \nCommits/Transfers to Another School: If Arch Manning officially commits or transfers to another school after Issuance and before Feb 2, 2027, as reported by a Source Agency, then the market for that school resolves to Yes.\nRetires / Not enrolled at a DI school: Resolves early if there is a public announcement of retirement or ending their football career, as reported by a Source Agency. Otherwise, if Arch Manning has not qualified for any of the special outcomes outlined above, and is not enrolled at a DI school on Feb 2, 2027, then the \"Retires / Not enrolled at a DI school\" market resolves to Yes.\nA school commitment counts even if Arch Manning later decommits or never enrolls. Rumors and visits do not count. If Arch Manning re-enters the portal, the first announced commitment or enrollment controls.\n\nKalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-27T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-09T15:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Sports"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-30T20:31:54.826499Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-30T20:31:54.826499Z","added_at":"2026-10-27T20:10:52.226498Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaaftransfer/arch-manning-next-team/kxncaaftransfer-27aman","event_title":"Arch Manning Next Team","chart_24h":null}]}