{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","ticker":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1167.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.529617309570312,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1167.32,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alice Weidel","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-09-15T18:36:52.466227Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T18:36:52.466227Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.493070Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","chart_24h":[668.68,320.26,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-AWEI","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-AWEI","question":"Will Alice Weidel become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"Alice Weidel","description":"If Alice Weidel becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":485.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.913439750671387,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-FBAN","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-FBAN","question":"Will Felix Banaszak become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"Felix Banaszak","description":"If Felix Banaszak becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":165.84,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.151100158691406,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-15T18:36:52.743664Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T18:36:52.743664Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-FMER","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-FMER","question":"Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"Friedrich Merz","description":"If Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":516.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-502.84,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.15593433380127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-16T01:33:12.899598Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T01:33:12.899598Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-BBAS","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-BBAS","question":"Will Baerbel Bas become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"Baerbel Bas","description":"If Baerbel Bas becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-LKLI","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-LKLI","question":"Will Lars Klingbeil become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"Lars Klingbeil","description":"If Lars Klingbeil becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-NOON","event_id":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","slug":"KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25-NOON","question":"Will No one become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?","group_item_title":"No one","description":"If No one becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the next German federal election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Chancellor, commands the confidence of the Bundestag, and exercises the full powers of the office rather than serving in a caretaker or acting capacity.\n\nA person who becomes Chancellor through an intra-term change of government, without a new federal election, does NOT resolve this market\nIf no government has formed by Aug 26, 2029, No one resolves YES and every other market resolves NO\nIf new elections are called before a government forms, No one resolves YES immediately\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. For this market a qualifying declaration must identify the person who will hold the Chancellorship following government formation; a declaration that a party has won the election does NOT qualify.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2029-08-26T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Germany"],"updated_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-14T23:38:58.759268Z","added_at":"2026-08-24T21:10:49.614111Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextgerchanc/who-will-become-chancellor-of-germany-following-the-next-federal-election/kxnextgerchanc-29feb25","event_title":"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNEXTGERCHANC-29FEB25","as_of":"2026-09-16T12:51:28.668021Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?\" — top market at 20% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}