{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","ticker":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3057.46,"volume_24hr":3057.46,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.083375930786133,"normalized_volume":17.539960861206055,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3057.46,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Brian Mast","top_outcome_probability":0.9,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.9,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":240.53,"updated_at":"2026-09-03T17:10:50.629352Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T17:10:50.629352Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:24.238123Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","chart_24h":[0.0,8.1,8.1,248.63,2437.48,3053.03,3053.03,3057.46],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-BMAS","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-BMAS","question":"Will Brian Mast be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Brian Mast","description":"If Brian Mast formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":240.53,"volume_24hr":240.53,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":240.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.9577054977417,"normalized_volume":9.372345924377441,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T15:35:44.680648Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T15:35:44.680648Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-DAND","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-DAND","question":"Will Derrick Anderson be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Derrick Anderson","description":"If Derrick Anderson formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":1098.02,"volume_24hr":1098.02,"prob_24h_change":0.9,"volume_24h_change":1098.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.473533630371094,"normalized_volume":15.26318645477295,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T16:02:56.703444Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T16:02:56.703444Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9,0.9,0.9]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-SPAR","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-SPAR","question":"Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Sean Parnell","description":"If Sean Parnell formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.09000000000000008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":1718.91,"volume_24hr":1718.91,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":1718.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.04421615600586,"normalized_volume":17.278064727783203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.91,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-ATEL","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-ATEL","question":"Will Adam Telle be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Adam Telle","description":"If Adam Telle formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-BING","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-BING","question":"Will Brent Ingraham be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Brent Ingraham","description":"If Brent Ingraham formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-CYOU","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-CYOU","question":"Will Charles Young III be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Charles Young III","description":"If Charles Young III formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T18:04:59.062455Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-JGIL","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-JGIL","question":"Will W. Jordan Gillis be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"W. Jordan Gillis","description":"If W. Jordan Gillis formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-MAND","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-MAND","question":"Will Marc Andersen be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Marc Andersen","description":"If Marc Andersen formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-MOBA","event_id":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","slug":"KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01-MOBA","question":"Will Michael Obadal be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?","group_item_title":"Michael Obadal","description":"If Michael Obadal formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.\n\nIf the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-03T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2030-01-08T15:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-03T17:38:41.598309Z","added_at":"2026-09-03T00:27:26.746300Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextsecarmy/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-of-the-army/kxnextsecarmy-30jan01","event_title":"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNEXTSECARMY-30JAN01","as_of":"2026-09-03T18:32:02.881013Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be the next Secretary of the Army?\" — top market at 66% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}