{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","ticker":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19647.84,"volume_24hr":8.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.8619706630706787,"normalized_volume":25.732349395751953,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5256.099999999999,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Chicago","top_outcome_probability":0.28,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":3.4,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:34.735736Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:34.735736Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","chart_24h":[0.0,3.4,8.4],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-CHI","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-CHI","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Chicago","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Chicago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Chicago on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Chicago, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Chicago\n- Guard units arrive in Chicago on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Chicago\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Chicago\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Chicago\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Chicago without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Chicago to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Chicago.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Chicago counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.060000000000000026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":2211.36,"volume_24hr":3.4,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":3.4,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.8654412627220154,"normalized_volume":18.18178939819336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:51:51.025221Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T03:50:20.680679Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-SF","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-SF","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"San Francisco","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to San Francisco after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in San Francisco on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in San Francisco, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to San Francisco\n- Guard units arrive in San Francisco on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in San Francisco\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to San Francisco\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in San Francisco\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside San Francisco without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through San Francisco to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in San Francisco.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within San Francisco counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":6207.59,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2657047510147095,"normalized_volume":23.380075454711914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:07:45.553431Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:06:34.879933Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-BOS","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-BOS","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Boston","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Boston after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Boston on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Boston, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Boston\n- Guard units arrive in Boston on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Boston\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Boston\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Boston\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Boston without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Boston to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Boston.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Boston counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-02-27T16:33:30Z","volume":13640.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.78437042236328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-06T06:32:46.083303Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-06T06:31:59.630548Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-CHA","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-CHA","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Charlotte","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Charlotte after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Charlotte on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Charlotte, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Charlotte\n- Guard units arrive in Charlotte on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Charlotte\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Charlotte\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Charlotte\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Charlotte without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Charlotte to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Charlotte.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Charlotte counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-03T20:08:55Z","volume":4929.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.16176986694336,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-BAL","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-BAL","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Baltimore","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Baltimore after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Baltimore on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Baltimore, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Baltimore\n- Guard units arrive in Baltimore on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Baltimore\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Baltimore\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Baltimore\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Baltimore without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Baltimore to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Baltimore.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Baltimore counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.9,0.09999999999999998],"probability":0.9,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-03T20:08:36Z","volume":3929.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.995820999145508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:44.084507Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-DET","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-DET","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Detroit","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Detroit after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Detroit on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Detroit, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Detroit\n- Guard units arrive in Detroit on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Detroit\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Detroit\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Detroit\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Detroit without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Detroit to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Detroit.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Detroit counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.699,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3442.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.329973220825195,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:26:49.549368Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-31T21:04:11.896386Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-POR","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-POR","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Portland","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Portland after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Portland on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Portland, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Portland\n- Guard units arrive in Portland on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Portland\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Portland\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Portland\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Portland without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Portland to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Portland.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Portland counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":6845.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.906829833984375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:38:50.213962Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T18:43:14.566424Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.23,0.23]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-HOU","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-HOU","question":"What cities will Trump send the National Guard to in 2026?","group_item_title":"Houston","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Houston after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Houston on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Houston, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves **YES**:\n\n- Governor activates Guard with deployment to Houston\n- Guard units arrive in Houston on emergency orders\n- Federal activation placing Guard in Houston\n- Inter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Houston\n- Pre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Houston\n- Any number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves **NO**:\n\n- Deployment announcements without actual arrival\n- Guard placed on standby/alert status only\n- Units staged outside Houston without entering\n- Training exercises or routine drills\n- Guard members traveling through Houston to another destination\n- Planning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\n- Off-duty Guard members acting as civilians\n- Guard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\n- Recruitment or community relations activities\n- Canceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\n- At least one Guard member must physically arrive in Houston.\n- Deployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\n- If deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\n- Presence for transit only doesn't count.\n- Re-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Houston counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\n- Both Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\n- Federal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-23T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":941.15,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.374701499938965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T15:18:41.946282Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-LA","event_id":"KXNGUARDCITY-26","slug":"KXNGUARDCITY-26-LA","question":"Will the National Guard be deployed to Los Angeles before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Los Angeles","description":"If the National Guard is deployed to Los Angeles after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nDeployment means National Guard members arrive in Los Angeles on official deployment orders, under State Active Duty (SAD), Title 32, or Title 10 activation, for operational missions (not routine training), with actual presence in Los Angeles, not merely assigned or in transit.\n\nThe following constitutes deployment and resolves YES:\n\nGovernor activates Guard with deployment to Los Angeles\nGuard units arrive in Los Angeles on emergency orders\nFederal activation placing Guard in Los Angeles\nInter-state Emergency Management Assistance Compact (EMAC) deployment to Los Angeles\nPre-positioned Guard units activated for operations in Los Angeles\nAny number of Guard members (even one) officially deployed\n\nThe following does NOT constitute deployment and resolves NO:\n\nDeployment announcements without actual arrival\nGuard placed on standby/alert status only\nUnits staged outside Los Angeles without entering\nTraining exercises or routine drills\nGuard members traveling through Los Angeles to another destination\nPlanning/assessment teams without follow-on deployment\nOff-duty Guard members acting as civilians\nGuard at permanent facilities (armories) not on deployment orders\nRecruitment or community relations activities\nCanceled deployments that never materialize\n\nSpecial provisions:\n\nAt least one Guard member must physically arrive in Los Angeles.\nDeployment must be for operational purposes, not training.\nIf deployment is announced then canceled before arrival, resolves NO.\nPresence for transit only doesn't count.\nRe-deployment of already-present units to new locations within Los Angeles counts only if they were not previously on deployment orders.\nBoth Army National Guard and Air National Guard deployments count.\nFederal military (non-Guard) deployments do not count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-04T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-04T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-05T14:02:52.775866Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T14:01:53.452663Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T00:52:22.661548Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnguardcity/which-cities-will-the-national-guard-deploy-to-in-2026/kxnguardcity-26","event_title":"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNGUARDCITY-26","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:36:28.977562Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Which cities will the National Guard deploy to in 2026?\" — top market at 19% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}