{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","as_of":"2026-10-13T07:54:26.891132Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place\" — \"Alliance\" leads at 0% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-12 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","ticker":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Alliance","top_outcome_probability":0.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.242125Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.242125Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.242125Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-ALL","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-ALL","question":"Will the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Alliance","description":"If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-DUP","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-DUP","question":"Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"DUP","description":"If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-SDLP","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-SDLP","question":"Will the Social Democratic and Labour Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"SDLP","description":"If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-SF","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-SF","question":"Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"Sinn Féin","description":"If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-TUV","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-TUV","question":"Will Traditional Unionist Voice finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"TUV","description":"If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-UUP","event_id":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2","slug":"KXNIASSEMBLY2ND-27MAY06-2-UUP","question":"Will the Ulster Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?","group_item_title":"UUP","description":"If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nRanking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order.\n\nThe party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO\nRank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs\nResolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count\nOnly the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count\nSeats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation\nIf a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO\n\nIn case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific \"Write-in\" or \"Other\" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.08000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-05-05T14:00:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T14:08:44.342493Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxniassembly2nd/northern-ireland-assembly-election-2nd-place/kxniassembly2nd-27may06-2","event_title":"Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place","chart_24h":null}]}