{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":23550.43,"volume_24hr":4897.12,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.719118118286133,"normalized_volume":27.549516677856445,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":14654.12,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"4.75% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.66,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":4185.299999999999,"updated_at":"2026-09-10T00:40:55.010471Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T00:40:55.010471Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.823368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","chart_24h":[291.47,289.85,282.76,336.25,339.62,537.12,430.12,503.34000000000003,4826.21,4827.34,4829.34,4897.12],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.74","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.74","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.66,0.33999999999999997],"probability":0.66,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":8263.32,"volume_24hr":4456.03,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":4185.299999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.67738151550293,"normalized_volume":25.325838088989258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T00:23:24.742742Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T00:23:24.742742Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.99","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.99","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.35,0.65],"probability":0.35,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":5869.25,"volume_24hr":268.26,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":254.60999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.944967269897461,"normalized_volume":23.44141960144043,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-10T00:40:55.194831Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-10T00:40:55.194831Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.14","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.14","question":"Will the yield 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platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-09-10T01:36:37.506291Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?\" — top market at 66% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}