{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","ticker":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":422.35,"volume_24hr":422.35,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.565633773803711,"normalized_volume":9.631570816040039,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":257.0,"categories":["Finance"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"5.1% or above","top_outcome_probability":0.49,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.49,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":36.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:43.621361Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:43.621361Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.823368Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","chart_24h":[0.0,17.0,239.0,240.0,240.35,240.35,293.35,422.35],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.09","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.09","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.09 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.1% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.09% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":36.0,"volume_24hr":36.0,"prob_24h_change":0.49,"volume_24h_change":36.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.142452239990234,"normalized_volume":3.996554136276245,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:36:59.159225Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:36:59.159225Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.99","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.99","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.99 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"5% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.99% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.009999999999999953,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":112.0,"volume_24hr":112.0,"prob_24h_change":0.48,"volume_24h_change":112.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.814090728759766,"normalized_volume":6.850037097930908,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:36:59.159225Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:36:59.159225Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.74","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T4.74","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.74 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"4.75% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 4.74% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.019999999999999962,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":237.35,"volume_24hr":237.35,"prob_24h_change":0.27,"volume_24h_change":237.35,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.816895484924316,"normalized_volume":9.183723449707031,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:39:20.961255Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:39:20.961255Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.14","event_id":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","slug":"KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31-T5.14","question":"Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 5.14 on Dec 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"5.15% or above","description":"If the 10Y US Treasury Yield is above 5.14% on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2026, or one week following Dec 31, 2026.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-09T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-02T04:35:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-31T19:00:00Z","volume":37.0,"volume_24hr":37.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":37.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.218691349029541,"normalized_volume":4.05580472946167,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:54:48.574361Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T18:53:36.293176Z","added_at":"2026-06-09T15:40:25.961322Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnote10y/10y-us-treasury-yield-at-year-end/kxnote10y-26dec31","event_title":"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXNOTE10Y-26DEC31","as_of":"2026-06-10T12:33:24.303886Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?\" — top market at 27% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}