{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOPUS48Y-27","ticker":"KXOPUS48Y-27","slug":"KXOPUS48Y-27","title":"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3424.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.442779541015625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2443.86,"categories":["Commodities"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"$4/MTok or below","top_outcome_probability":0.12,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T14:27:25.947695Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T14:27:25.947695Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T01:05:45.025530Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopus48y/how-low-will-the-claude-opus-48-input-token-price-get-in-2026/kxopus48y-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-4","event_id":"KXOPUS48Y-27","slug":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-4","question":"Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $4/MTok in 2026?","group_item_title":"$4/MTok or below","description":"If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.\n\nIf no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","volume":473.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.643064498901367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T01:05:45.297730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopus48y/how-low-will-the-claude-opus-48-input-token-price-get-in-2026/kxopus48y-27","event_title":"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-3","event_id":"KXOPUS48Y-27","slug":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-3","question":"Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $3/MTok in 2026?","group_item_title":"$3/MTok or below","description":"If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.\n\nIf no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1087.14,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.985845565795898,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T06:03:33.118940Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T01:05:45.297730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopus48y/how-low-will-the-claude-opus-48-input-token-price-get-in-2026/kxopus48y-27","event_title":"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-1","event_id":"KXOPUS48Y-27","slug":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-1","question":"Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $1/MTok in 2026?","group_item_title":"$1/MTok or below","description":"If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $1 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.\n\nIf no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","volume":50.21,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":4.748388767242432,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T22:55:37.885144Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T01:05:45.297730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopus48y/how-low-will-the-claude-opus-48-input-token-price-get-in-2026/kxopus48y-27","event_title":"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-2","event_id":"KXOPUS48Y-27","slug":"KXOPUS48Y-27-NA-2","question":"Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $2/MTok in 2026?","group_item_title":"$2/MTok or below","description":"If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies.\n\nIf no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-04T01:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T15:00:00Z","volume":1813.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.257965087890625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Commodities"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T11:00:11.192733Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T14:27:26.093792Z","added_at":"2026-06-04T01:05:45.297730Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxopus48y/how-low-will-the-claude-opus-48-input-token-price-get-in-2026/kxopus48y-27","event_title":"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXOPUS48Y-27","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:24:43.753958Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get in 2026?\" — top market at 12% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}