{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","ticker":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2531.0,"volume_24hr":2531.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.555160522460938,"normalized_volume":16.599733352661133,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2320.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"D+37 to D+39.9","top_outcome_probability":0.18,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.18,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1731.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-25T23:16:42.821398Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T23:16:42.821398Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:00.938629Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","chart_24h":[2320.0,2320.0,2531.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B38","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B38","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+37 to D+39.9","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 37 and 39.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":1731.0,"volume_24hr":1731.0,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":1731.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.1851749420166,"normalized_volume":17.310571670532227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T02:33:15.282781Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T02:33:15.282781Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-AL40","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-AL40","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+40 or more","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 40 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":800.0,"volume_24hr":800.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":800.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.03000259399414,"normalized_volume":13.915348052978516,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B26","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B26","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 25 and 27.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+25 to D+27.9","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 25 and 27.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T22:27:34.899779Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T22:27:34.899779Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B29","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B29","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 28 and 30.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+28 to D+30.9","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 28 and 30.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B32","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B32","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 31 and 33.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+31 to D+33.9","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 31 and 33.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B35","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-B35","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"D+34 to D+36.9","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 34 and 36.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.07999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T23:49:42.592811Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-U25","event_id":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","slug":"KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03-U25","question":"Will the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election be below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"Below D+25","description":"If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of Pennsylvania returned mail ballots by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below 25 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the \"Percent\" column (share of mail ballots accepted) of the \"Returned Mail Ballots by Party Registration\" table on the Pennsylvania page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. The \"Percent Returned\" column is not used. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the acceptdem, acceptrep and accept_none values for Pennsylvania in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.060000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-02T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-11-04T14:59:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T22:27:34.899779Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T22:27:34.899779Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T21:13:01.127842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpamailmargin/pennsylvania-mail-voters-party-registration-margin/kxpamailmargin-26nov03","event_title":"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPAMAILMARGIN-26NOV03","as_of":"2026-09-26T02:49:20.630652Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Pennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?\" — top market at 18% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}