{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","ticker":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":528.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.352598190307617,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":388.0,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ralph Fiennes","top_outcome_probability":0.29,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-18T14:42:26.231619Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-18T14:42:26.231619Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-RAL","event_id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-RAL","question":"Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?","group_item_title":"Ralph Fiennes","description":"If Ralph Fiennes performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Ralph Fiennes satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nRalph Fiennes is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nRalph Fiennes appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ralph Fiennes was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Ralph Fiennes is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” [b][c]\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Ralph Fiennes being announced or performing in M, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.29,0.71],"probability":0.29,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":80.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.919149875640869,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:25:43.344612Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:25:43.344612Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","event_title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","chart_24h":[0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-OLI","event_id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-OLI","question":"Will Olivia Colman perform as M in the next James Bond film?","group_item_title":"Olivia Colman","description":"If Olivia Colman performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Olivia Colman satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nOlivia Colman is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nOlivia Colman appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Olivia Colman was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Olivia Colman is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” [b][c]\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Olivia Colman being announced or performing in M, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.95,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":87.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.1445488929748535,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T15:25:43.344612Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T15:25:43.344612Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","event_title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-CHA","event_id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-CHA","question":"Will Charles Dance perform as M in the next James Bond film?","group_item_title":"Charles Dance","description":"If Charles Dance performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Charles Dance satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nCharles Dance is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nCharles Dance appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Charles Dance was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Charles Dance is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” [b][c]\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Charles Dance being announced or performing in M, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":316.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":10.16552448272705,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:04:17.023130Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T02:04:17.023130Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","event_title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-MAR","event_id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-MAR","question":"Will Mark Rylance perform as M in the next James Bond film?","group_item_title":"Mark Rylance","description":"If Mark Rylance performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Mark Rylance satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nMark Rylance is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nMark Rylance appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Mark Rylance was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Mark Rylance is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” [b][c]\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Mark Rylance being announced or performing in M, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.8411149978637695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T09:47:01.898567Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","event_title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.13]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-IDR","event_id":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M","slug":"KXPERFORMROLE007-M-IDR","question":"Will Idris Elba perform as M in the next James Bond film?","group_item_title":"Idris Elba","description":"If Idris Elba performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor the purposes of this Contract, Idris Elba satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:\n\nOfficial Announcement:\nIdris Elba is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR\n\nActual Performance:\nIdris Elba appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film.\n\nAdditional clarification(s):\n\nIf the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Idris Elba was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”\n\nIf multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Idris Elba is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” [b][c]\n\nThe Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if:\n(a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Idris Elba being announced or performing in M, or\n(b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-01-08T23:00:00Z","end_date":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2031-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":25.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.253706455230713,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T02:31:51.393123Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T09:47:01.898567Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperformrole007/who-will-play-m-in-the-next-james-bond-film/kxperformrole007-m","event_title":"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPERFORMROLE007-M","as_of":"2026-06-10T16:14:27.783692Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will play M in the next James Bond film?\" — top market at 29% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}