{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","ticker":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5702.67,"volume_24hr":3889.04,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.987529754638672,"normalized_volume":21.225805282592773,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":5290.98,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Barack Obama","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.1399999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":148.43,"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:59:49.476078Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:59:49.476078Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.371668Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","chart_24h":[1813.63,1813.63,1839.8600000000001,1842.51,1847.68,2746.68,3020.37,4031.02,4032.02,4032.02,4799.03,4799.48,4801.3,4805.3,5329.3099999999995,5330.72,4014.72,4014.72,3915.1,3935.36,3939.04,3889.04],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BOBA","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BOBA","question":"Will Barack Obama be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Barack Obama","description":"If Barack Obama has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Barack Obama is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Barack Obama appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nBarack Obama attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nBarack Obama gives a live press conference covered by news media\nBarack Obama attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Barack Obama but without Source Agency confirmation\nBarack Obama appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":752.45,"volume_24hr":450.44,"prob_24h_change":0.1399999999999999,"volume_24h_change":148.43,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.317024230957031,"normalized_volume":12.97958755493164,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T17:35:45.853740Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T17:35:45.853740Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.565074Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","event_title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","chart_24h":[0.8,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-HCLI","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-HCLI","question":"Will Hillary Clinton be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Hillary Clinton","description":"If Hillary Clinton has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Hillary Clinton is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Hillary Clinton appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nHillary Clinton attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nHillary Clinton gives a live press conference covered by news media\nHillary Clinton attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Hillary Clinton but without Source Agency confirmation\nHillary Clinton appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.58,0.42000000000000004],"probability":0.58,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1472.94,"volume_24hr":1138.33,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":803.7199999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.33047866821289,"normalized_volume":15.742243766784668,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:41:23.468515Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T18:27:17.338983Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.565074Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","event_title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-JBID","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-JBID","question":"Will Joe Biden be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":"If Joe Biden has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Joe Biden is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Joe Biden appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nJoe Biden attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nJoe Biden gives a live press conference covered by news media\nJoe Biden attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Joe Biden but without Source Agency confirmation\nJoe Biden appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1349.25,"volume_24hr":1345.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.43999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1341.23,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.11404800415039,"normalized_volume":15.366265296936035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T19:19:48.686411Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:19:48.686411Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.565074Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","event_title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BCLI","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-BCLI","question":"Will Bill Clinton be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Bill Clinton","description":"If Bill Clinton has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Bill Clinton is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Bill Clinton appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nBill Clinton attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nBill Clinton gives a live press conference covered by news media\nBill Clinton attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Bill Clinton but without Source Agency confirmation\nBill Clinton appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":1752.77,"volume_24hr":933.77,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":101.82999999999993,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.425050735473633,"normalized_volume":16.50133514404297,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T18:41:34.666186Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T16:42:51.342977Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.565074Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","event_title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","chart_24h":[0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-GBUS","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01-GBUS","question":"Will George Bush be seen in public before Aug 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"George Bush","description":"If George Bush has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM Jul 1, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: George Bush is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: George Bush appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nGeorge Bush attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nGeorge Bush gives a live press conference covered by news media\nGeorge Bush attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be George Bush but without Source Agency confirmation\nGeorge Bush appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.33,0.6699999999999999],"probability":0.33,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-08-01T03:59:00Z","volume":375.26,"volume_24hr":21.26,"prob_24h_change":0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":-332.74,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1738133430480957,"normalized_volume":10.401208877563477,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-02T20:00:54.242312Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-02T19:59:49.709737Z","added_at":"2026-07-01T14:01:24.565074Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-be-seen-in-public-in-jul-2026/kxpersonpublic-26aug01","event_title":"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?","chart_24h":[0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPERSONPUBLIC-26AUG01","as_of":"2026-07-02T20:18:10.804719Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will be seen in public in Jul 2026?\" — top market at 53% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}