{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","ticker":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","title":"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9402.970000000001,"volume_24hr":1302.07,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.042415618896484,"normalized_volume":21.732858657836914,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8012.66,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Joe Biden","top_outcome_probability":0.51,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":724.31,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:50:59.701633Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:50:59.701633Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/kxpersonpublic-26jun01","chart_24h":[577.76,501.17,516.17,529.17,578.35,919.35,961.7,962.7,963.64,964.64,1005.64,1684.36,1685.36,1650.15,1649.21,1640.28,1434.82,1434.26,1410.7,1408.75,1206.29,1207.29,1302.07],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-JBID","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-JBID","question":"Will Joe Biden be seen in public before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Joe Biden","description":"If Joe Biden has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Joe Biden is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Joe Biden appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nJoe Biden attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nJoe Biden gives a live press conference covered by news media\nJoe Biden attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Joe Biden but without Source Agency confirmation\nJoe Biden appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":4399.39,"volume_24hr":1302.07,"prob_24h_change":-0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":724.31,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.449264526367188,"normalized_volume":22.83718490600586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T15:51:37.201663Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T15:50:59.795010Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/kxpersonpublic-26jun01","event_title":"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?","chart_24h":[0.74,0.74,0.74,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-KHAR","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-KHAR","question":"Will Kamala Harris be seen in public before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Kamala Harris","description":"If Kamala Harris has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Kamala Harris is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Kamala Harris appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nKamala Harris attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nKamala Harris gives a live press conference covered by news media\nKamala Harris attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Kamala Harris but without Source Agency confirmation\nKamala Harris appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-08T14:17:34Z","volume":1682.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.904346466064453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-09T14:23:06.495145Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-09T00:33:47.678853Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/kxpersonpublic-26jun01","event_title":"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-BCLI","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-BCLI","question":"Will Bill Clinton be seen in public before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Bill Clinton","description":"If Bill Clinton has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: Bill Clinton is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: Bill Clinton appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nBill Clinton attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nBill Clinton gives a live press conference covered by news media\nBill Clinton attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be Bill Clinton but without Source Agency confirmation\nBill Clinton appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-04T14:28:19Z","volume":1897.39,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.48958396911621,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T14:29:54.064207Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:54:59.410179Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/kxpersonpublic-26jun01","event_title":"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-GBUS","event_id":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","slug":"KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01-GBUS","question":"Will George W. Bush be seen in public before Jun 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"George W. Bush","description":"If George W. Bush has been seen in public starting 10:00 AM May 1, 2026 and before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAll of the following criteria must be met:\n\nPhysical Presence: George W. Bush is physically present (not virtual/holographic) and alive\nConsciousness: George W. Bush appears conscious and aware (not unconscious, comatose, or incapacitated)\nPublic Setting: The sighting occurs in one of the following:\n   A public space accessible to the general public (streets, parks, shops, restaurants)\n   A ticketed public event (concerts, sports events, conferences)\n   An official public appearance (government events, ceremonies, press conferences)\n   A semi-public venue where public access is normal (hotels, airports, train stations)\n\nThe following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:\n\nPre-recorded or archival footage presented as current\nPrivate events closed to the general public (private parties, closed meetings)\nMedical facilities, private residences, or restricted areas\nVirtual appearances (video calls, holograms, avatars)\nBody doubles or impersonators\nCorpses, funeral viewings, or posthumous footage\n\nExamples that WOULD resolve to Yes:\n\nGeorge W. Bush attends a movie premiere and is photographed on the red carpet by multiple Source Agencies\nGeorge W. Bush gives a live press conference covered by news media\nGeorge W. Bush attends a sporting event and is shown on the stadium's video screens\n\nExamples that would NOT resolve to Yes:\n\nPre-recorded video message\nPrivate party footage leaked online\nSomeone claiming to be George W. Bush but without Source Agency confirmation\nGeorge W. Bush appearing via video link from home","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.64,0.36],"probability":0.64,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-01T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-05-16T01:38:17Z","volume":1424.19,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.11178970336914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"updated_at":"2026-05-17T01:50:32.540077Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-16T21:51:04.623060Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpersonpublic/who-will-make-a-public-appearance-in-may-2026/kxpersonpublic-26jun01","event_title":"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPERSONPUBLIC-26JUN01","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:09:47.870657Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Who will make a public appearance in May 2026?\" — top market at 51% probability across 4 outcomes","source_url":null}}