{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","ticker":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":78993.25,"volume_24hr":16173.62,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.8479118347168,"normalized_volume":33.485897064208984,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":42393.03,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1261.06,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:22:09.898808Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:22:09.898808Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:57.952532Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","chart_24h":[9707.460000000001,9587.460000000001,10908.08,10878.33,10343.78,10304.68,9922.02,9915.95,10168.26,10286.68,11151.68,10051.029999999999,9187.8,11519.88,11405.73,18450.260000000002,18298.97,18249.97,17499.420000000002,17162.45,17010.34,17744.64,17756.07,18107.02,17966.02,17776.45,17584.0,17721.170000000002,17554.04,17355.64,17206.649999999998,17205.649999999998,17193.5,16834.04,15838.74,15965.74,15965.74,15966.74],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P1","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Keiko Fujimori, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keiko Fujimori runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keiko Fujimori will be summed.\n\nIf Keiko Fujimori wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keiko Fujimori loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keiko Fujimori ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keiko Fujimori is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":12260.1,"volume_24hr":1764.98,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":-1261.06,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.036209106445312,"normalized_volume":27.1653995513916,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:23:22.123572Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:22:10.031847Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P1","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Roberto Sánchez, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Roberto Sánchez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roberto Sánchez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Roberto Sánchez will be summed.\n\nIf Roberto Sánchez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Roberto Sánchez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Roberto Sánchez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Roberto Sánchez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":15964.07,"volume_24hr":4048.58,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":837.0299999999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.199888229370117,"normalized_volume":28.710180282592773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:23:22.123572Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:22:10.031847Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P4","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Keiko Fujimori, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keiko Fujimori runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keiko Fujimori will be summed.\n\nIf Keiko Fujimori wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keiko Fujimori loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keiko Fujimori ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keiko Fujimori is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":16908.72,"volume_24hr":258.95,"prob_24h_change":-0.01,"volume_24h_change":-2154.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.189075469970703,"normalized_volume":29.05225372314453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:35.935704Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:55:52.739934Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P4","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Roberto Sánchez, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Roberto Sánchez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roberto Sánchez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Roberto Sánchez will be summed.\n\nIf Roberto Sánchez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Roberto Sánchez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Roberto Sánchez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Roberto Sánchez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":19921.08,"volume_24hr":10101.11,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":9277.67,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.51611328125,"normalized_volume":30.038921356201172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:35.935704Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:32:41.530941Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RALI-P10","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RALI-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Keiko Fujimori, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keiko Fujimori runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keiko Fujimori will be summed.\n\nIf Keiko Fujimori wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keiko Fujimori loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keiko Fujimori ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keiko Fujimori is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":1971.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.642826080322266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:59:18.045349Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T18:12:10.041902Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P7","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Roberto Sánchez, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Roberto Sánchez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roberto Sánchez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Roberto Sánchez will be summed.\n\nIf Roberto Sánchez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Roberto Sánchez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Roberto Sánchez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Roberto Sánchez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":1007.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.659720420837402,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:42:44.726795Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T19:33:22.655119Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P56","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Keiko Fujimori, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keiko Fujimori runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keiko Fujimori will be summed.\n\nIf Keiko Fujimori wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keiko Fujimori loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keiko Fujimori ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keiko Fujimori is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":3453.06,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.34597396850586,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:39:40.145982Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T03:10:09.265168Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P7","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-KFUJ-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Keiko Fujimori, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keiko Fujimori in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keiko Fujimori minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keiko Fujimori if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keiko Fujimori loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori wins, or the electoral votes received by Keiko Fujimori minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keiko Fujimori does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keiko Fujimori runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keiko Fujimori will be summed.\n\nIf Keiko Fujimori wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keiko Fujimori loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keiko Fujimori ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keiko Fujimori is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":4615.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-232.95,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.820297241210938,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:58:35.935704Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T12:53:31.555640Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P10","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Roberto Sánchez, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Roberto Sánchez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roberto Sánchez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Roberto Sánchez will be summed.\n\nIf Roberto Sánchez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Roberto Sánchez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Roberto Sánchez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Roberto Sánchez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":933.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":14.338251113891602,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:52.905385Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T06:44:07.104279Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P56","event_id":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","slug":"KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07-RSAN-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Roberto Sánchez, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Roberto Sánchez in the 2026 Peru presidential election runoff falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Roberto Sánchez minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Roberto Sánchez if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Roberto Sánchez loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez wins, or the electoral votes received by Roberto Sánchez minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Roberto Sánchez does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Roberto Sánchez runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Roberto Sánchez will be summed.\n\nIf Roberto Sánchez wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Roberto Sánchez loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Roberto Sánchez ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Roberto Sánchez is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-21T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-07T14:00:00Z","volume":1960.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.616819381713867,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:03:05.816470Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T01:33:03.538383Z","added_at":"2026-05-21T21:08:58.046973Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxperupresmov/peru-presidential-election-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxperupresmov-26jun07","event_title":"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPERUPRESMOV-26JUN07","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:29:22.399514Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Peru presidential election runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}