{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","ticker":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","title":"Poland general election winner?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2484.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.659143447875977,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":781.24,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Civic Coalition","top_outcome_probability":0.55,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-08T16:57:44.219588Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-08T16:57:44.219588Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-KO","event_id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-KO","question":"Who will win the next Polish general election?","group_item_title":"Civic Coalition","description":"If the winner of the next Polish general election is Civic Coalition, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":173.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":6.941471576690674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T13:06:26.257321Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-24T11:40:28.394506Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","event_title":"Poland general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-PIS","event_id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-PIS","question":"Who will win the next Polish general election?","group_item_title":"Law and Justice","description":"If the winner of the next Polish general election is Law and Justice, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nFor parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.\n\nThis market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":2196.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.40938949584961,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T14:15:34.278346Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","event_title":"Poland general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-CONFED","event_id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-CONFED","question":"Who will win the next Polish general election?","group_item_title":"Confederation","description":"If the winner of the next Polish general election in 2027 is Confederation, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.048,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":81.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.05377721786499,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:20:35.141089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T23:22:08.352407Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","event_title":"Poland general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-THIRD","event_id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-THIRD","question":"Who will win the next Polish general election?","group_item_title":"Third Way","description":"If the winner of the next Polish general election in 2027 is Third Way, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.1250363439321518,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:20:35.141089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T23:22:08.352407Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","event_title":"Poland general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-LEFT","event_id":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27","slug":"KXPOLANDSEJM-27-LEFT","question":"Who will win the next Polish general election?","group_item_title":"The Left","description":"If the winner of the next Polish general election in 2027 is The Left, then the market resolves to Yes.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.046,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-07-15T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-11-10T15:00:00Z","volume":33.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.2362253665924072,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["Poland"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T02:20:35.141089Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-26T23:22:08.352407Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpolandsejm/poland-general-election-winner/kxpolandsejm-27","event_title":"Poland general election winner?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPOLANDSEJM-27","as_of":"2026-07-25T15:45:57.251935Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Poland general election winner?\" — top market at 55% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}