{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","ticker":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69902.95,"volume_24hr":1.02,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.15204176306724548,"normalized_volume":30.688365936279297,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":40666.03,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Decrease 0-0.99%","top_outcome_probability":0.43,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-25T03:32:55.313371Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T03:32:55.313371Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1-1.99","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1-1.99","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between 1% and 1.99% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Increase 1-1.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between 1% to 1.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":7524.18,"volume_24hr":1.02,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":1.02,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.16162146627902985,"normalized_volume":24.62906265258789,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T16:50:22.172228Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T16:50:22.172228Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.99-0N","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between -0.99% and 0% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Decrease 0-0.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between -0.99% to 0% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.5700000000000001],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.02999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":19915.97,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":30.293155670166016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T18:03:23.394455Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T18:03:23.394455Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.01-0.99","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-0.01-0.99","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between 0.01% and 0.99% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Increase 0.01-0.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between 0.01% to 0.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.36,0.64],"probability":0.36,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":12685.93,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":27.595802307128906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T17:07:01.673790Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T16:50:22.172228Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1.99-1N","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-1.99-1N","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between -1.99% and -1% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Decrease 1-1.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between -1.99% to -1% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":9886.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.158721923828125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T16:50:22.172228Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-25T16:50:22.172228Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2.99-2N","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2.99-2N","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between -2.99% and -2% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Decrease 2-2.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between -2.99% to -2% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":3994.67,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.259496688842773,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T14:23:52.833154Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T01:19:11.266285Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NA","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NA","question":"Will New York City experience population increase 3% or more during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Increase 3% or more","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between 3% or more between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":4616.49,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.007549285888672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T12:27:30.901164Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-22T08:29:36.096365Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2-2.99","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-2-2.99","question":"Will New York City experience population increase between 2% and 2.99% during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Increase 2-2.99%","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between 2% to 2.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":2926.29,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.69420051574707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-25T19:33:30.374135Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T18:31:09.815750Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NAN","event_id":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","slug":"KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01-NYC-3-NAN","question":"Will New York City experience population decrease 3% or more during 2025-2027?","group_item_title":"Decrease 3% or more","description":"If New York City experiences a population increase of between -3% or less between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPopulation change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-11-08T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2029-06-01T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-06-01T03:59:00Z","volume":8352.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.209014892578125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T19:15:03.940782Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-11T21:58:10.386471Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopchangenyc/nyc-population-change-july-2025-july-2027/kxpopchangenyc-28jun01","event_title":"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPOPCHANGENYC-28JUN01","as_of":"2026-06-25T19:37:17.397732Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?\" — top market at 3% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}