{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","ticker":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":181991.63999999998,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":39.69873809814453,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":61282.03,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Peru","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-11T17:51:48.992150Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T17:51:48.992150Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PER","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Peru before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Peru","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Peru before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.040000000000000036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":12737.47,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":25.058855056762695,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Peru"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ARG","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ARG","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Argentina","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.84,0.16000000000000003],"probability":0.84,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":23825.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.48875617980957,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Argentina"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-URU","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-URU","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Uruguay","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Uruguay before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.83,0.17000000000000004],"probability":0.83,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":25811.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.94332504272461,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Uruguay"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T14:45:12.566515Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T00:45:29.282063Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.83]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-BRA","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-BRA","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Brazil","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.27,0.73],"probability":0.27,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3634.27,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.851287841796875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Brazil"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T22:46:09.886643Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T19:53:24.103303Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-MEX","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Mexico","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":24846.72,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":28.72661781311035,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Mexico"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:29.011270Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-USA","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-USA","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit United States before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"USA","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of the United States of America before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":71554.12,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":35.044857025146484,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:07:35.188681Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-11T05:22:08.373478Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.25]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-POR","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Portugal before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Portugal","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Portugal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":3323.97,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.443206787109375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Portugal"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T01:11:24.895715Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:29.011270Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PHI","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-PHI","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Philippines before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Philippines","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Philippines before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":163.96,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.311219215393066,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Philippines"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-12T06:06:24.532377Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-UKR","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-UKR","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Ukraine","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":8806.66,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.140535354614258,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ukraine","Vatican City"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-09T17:52:08.076077Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ISR","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-ISR","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Israel before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Israel","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":4094.46,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.403423309326172,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T20:57:22.741496Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-10T19:05:29.011270Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-JOR","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-JOR","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit Jordan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Jordan","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Jordan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":275.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.859583854675293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Jordan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T22:09:50.057872Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T03:08:37.994196Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-SSUD","event_id":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","slug":"KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01-SSUD","question":"Will Pope Leo XIV visit South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"South Sudan","description":"If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of South Sudan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nPhysical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-02T20:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T15:00:00Z","volume":2918.24,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.856000900268555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["South Sudan"],"updated_at":"2026-07-12T17:53:04.341711Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-27T02:52:57.751271Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpopevisit/what-countries-will-pope-leo-visit-in-2026/kxpopevisit-27jan01","event_title":"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPOPEVISIT-27JAN01","as_of":"2026-07-13T00:11:03.296065Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?\" — top market at 88% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}