{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","as_of":"2026-11-11T09:01:42.030588Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?\" — 8 markets; highest \"Before Feb 1, 2027\" at 89% as of 2026-11-11 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","source_url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28"},"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","ticker":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3592.0200000000004,"volume_24hr":3592.0200000000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.861513137817383,"normalized_volume":17.686861038208008,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3592.0200000000004,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Before Feb 1, 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.89,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.89,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1484.01,"updated_at":"2026-11-11T06:55:26.628847Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T06:55:26.628847Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:11.945618Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","chart_24h":null,"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27FEB01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27FEB01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Feb 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Feb 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.10000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-02-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-02-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":1484.01,"volume_24hr":1484.01,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":1484.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.773405075073242,"normalized_volume":14.964089393615723,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27JAN01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27JAN01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.75,0.25],"probability":0.75,"spread":0.06000000000000005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":2108.01,"volume_24hr":2108.01,"prob_24h_change":0.75,"volume_24h_change":2108.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.718599319458008,"normalized_volume":16.43617057800293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.75,0.75]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-26DEC01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-26DEC01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Dec 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"Before Dec 1, 2026","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27APR01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27APR01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Apr 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Apr 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-04-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-04-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T04:34:23.184381Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T04:34:23.184381Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27JUN01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27JUN01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jun 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Jun 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-10T22:45:36.477482Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-10T22:45:36.477482Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27MAR01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27MAR01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Mar 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Mar 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000027,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-03-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T07:41:39.027948Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27SEP01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-27SEP01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Sep 1, 2027?","group_item_title":"Before Sep 1, 2027","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-09-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-09-01T03:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T03:16:29.804326Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T03:16:29.804326Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-28JAN01","event_id":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28","slug":"KXPRESRUNFIRSTD-28-28JAN01","question":"Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination before Jan 1, 2028?","group_item_title":"Before Jan 1, 2028","description":"If at least one of the listed Democrats announced a run for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nAnnouncing a run means a listed person publicly announces, themselves or through their official campaign, that they are running for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. A later withdrawal does not undo an announcement. Filing with the Federal Election Commission without a public announcement, forming an exploratory committee, saying they are considering a run, and a run for another party's nomination or as an independent do NOT count.\n\nThe listed Democrats are the following 44 people, and no one else will be added: Andy Beshear, Hunter Biden, Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg, Hillary Clinton, Roy Cooper, Jasmine Crockett, Mark Cuban, Abdul El-Sayed, Rahm Emanuel, Shawn Fain, John Fetterman, Ruben Gallego, Kamala Harris, David Jolly, Mark Kelly, Ro Khanna, Amy Klobuchar, Mitch Landrieu, Wes Moore, Chris Murphy, Phil Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Beto O'Rourke, Michelle Obama, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Dean Phillips, Graham Platner, Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, Gina Raimondo, Josh Shapiro, Mikie Sherrill, Elissa Slotkin, Stephen A. Smith, Abigail Spanberger, Jon Stewart, James Talarico, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Walz, Raphael Warnock, Elizabeth Warren and Gretchen Whitmer.\n\nOnly reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-11-09T21:00:00Z","end_date":"2028-01-08T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2028-01-01T04:59:00Z","result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-11-11T03:16:29.804326Z","fetched_at":"2026-11-11T03:16:29.804326Z","added_at":"2026-11-09T21:08:12.182620Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresrunfirstd/when-will-the-first-listed-democrat-announce-a-2028-presidential-run/kxpresrunfirstd-28","event_title":"When will the first listed Democrat announce a 2028 presidential run?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}]}