{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":22313.03,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.39879035949707,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":17058.16,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ken Calvert, ≥12%","top_outcome_probability":0.88,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-08T03:12:37.235032Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T03:12:37.235032Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.255672Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Ken Calvert, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ken Calvert minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ken Calvert wins, or the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ken Calvert does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed.\n\nIf Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.88,0.12],"probability":0.88,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":789.29,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.646289825439453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:34:39.331706Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T00:13:42.230136Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.88,0.88]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Young Kim minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Young Kim wins, or the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Young Kim does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":2309.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.386268615722656,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T04:44:29.272617Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Ken Calvert, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ken Calvert minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ken Calvert wins, or the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ken Calvert does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed.\n\nIf Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.99,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":584.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":12.449492454528809,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:53:06.955525Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T06:17:47.564757Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Young Kim minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Young Kim wins, or the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Young Kim does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":2016.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.747920989990234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:26:49.549368Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T04:31:35.651997Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Ken Calvert, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ken Calvert minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ken Calvert wins, or the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ken Calvert does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed.\n\nIf Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":1321.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.831927299499512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:15:59.817942Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T22:42:28.615552Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Ken Calvert, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ken Calvert minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ken Calvert wins, or the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ken Calvert does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed.\n\nIf Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.09,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":1356.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.947261810302734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.733628Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.733628Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-KCAL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Ken Calvert, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ken Calvert minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ken Calvert loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ken Calvert wins, or the electoral votes received by Ken Calvert minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ken Calvert does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ken Calvert runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ken Calvert will be summed.\n\nIf Ken Calvert wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ken Calvert loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ken Calvert ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ken Calvert is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":3398.87,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.267070770263672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:30:35.574615Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-08T20:28:46.262882Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Young Kim minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Young Kim wins, or the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Young Kim does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":2273.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.311769485473633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T23:15:59.817942Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T22:42:28.615552Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be above 12%?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Young Kim minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Young Kim wins, or the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Young Kim does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":4455.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.637969970703125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:57:56.872751Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T19:16:32.307164Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26-YKIM-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Young Kim, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Young Kim in the 2026 California 40th Congressional District primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Young Kim minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Young Kim minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Young Kim if Young Kim wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Young Kim loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Young Kim wins, or the electoral votes received by Young Kim minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Young Kim does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Young Kim runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Young Kim will be summed.\n\nIf Young Kim wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Young Kim loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Young Kim ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Young Kim is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-03T14:00:00Z","volume":3810.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.840106964111328,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:18:57.968345Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T18:11:15.011069Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:00:42.611014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ca-40-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ca40primaryadvance26","event_title":"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-CA40PRIMARYADVANCE26","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:37:07.850857Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CA-40 Primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 88% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}