{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":175490.55,"volume_24hr":13580.630000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":33.58564758300781,"normalized_volume":38.393463134765625,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":97831.57,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","parent_event_id":"group:CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Xavier Becerra, 4-6%","top_outcome_probability":0.67,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.15999999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-87.42999999999995,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.626616Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.626616Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.543750Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","chart_24h":[2548.68,2748.68,2807.41,2820.16,2820.16,12657.16,14280.16,13783.16,13797.16,13795.16,13995.16,13281.16,13582.16,13682.16,13632.16,13215.58,13126.48,13326.48,13627.48,13630.630000000001,13580.630000000001],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.67,0.32999999999999996],"probability":0.67,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":17402.12,"volume_24hr":519.25,"prob_24h_change":-0.15999999999999992,"volume_24h_change":-87.42999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.42168140411377,"normalized_volume":29.224157333374023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.733628Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.733628Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.83,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 2% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.41,0.5900000000000001],"probability":0.41,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":16507.94,"volume_24hr":1232.63,"prob_24h_change":0.30999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":1024.63,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.973508834838867,"normalized_volume":28.909271240234375,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:33.156257Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T10:11:33.156257Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":9771.22,"volume_24hr":46.75,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.892396926879883,"normalized_volume":25.87177085876465,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:21:25.380926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T14:10:36.520898Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":25751.63,"volume_24hr":7954.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":7740.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.803590774536133,"normalized_volume":31.61701202392578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T11:27:50.361347Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T11:26:41.733628Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 8% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":17420.85,"volume_24hr":3828.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2805.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.836055755615234,"normalized_volume":29.2305965423584,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T01:00:54.028002Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:59.522263Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1985.55,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.677032470703125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:55:52.739934Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:55:52.739934Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 2% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":4610.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.81444549560547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:55:52.739934Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:55:52.739934Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":6462.79,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.596242904663086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:48:08.513404Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-03T15:43:17.585220Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:02:47Z","volume":6274.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.437118530273438,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:59.522263Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:59.522263Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P3","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P3","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 2% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, 2-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 2% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:02:53Z","volume":7636.56,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.502277374267578,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:59.522263Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:32:59.522263Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P5","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P5","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 4% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, 4-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 4% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:03:05Z","volume":1433.53,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.19388771057129,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-XBEC-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Xavier Becerra, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Xavier Becerra in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Xavier Becerra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Xavier Becerra if Xavier Becerra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Xavier Becerra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra wins, or the electoral votes received by Xavier Becerra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Xavier Becerra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Xavier Becerra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Xavier Becerra will be summed.\n\nIf Xavier Becerra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Xavier Becerra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Xavier Becerra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Xavier Becerra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.97,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":17165.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.142160415649414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:57:17.895480Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T08:57:17.895480Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 2%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, 0-2%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 2%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":6716.05,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.803415298461914,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:35:50.950936Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:02:56.524390Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":4910.2,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.14185905456543,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T00:26:31.337939Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-SHIL-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Steve Hilton, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 8% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Steve Hilton minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Steve Hilton minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Steve Hilton if Steve Hilton wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Steve Hilton loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Steve Hilton wins, or the electoral votes received by Steve Hilton minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Steve Hilton does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Steve Hilton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Steve Hilton will be summed.\n\nIf Steve Hilton wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Steve Hilton loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Steve Hilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Steve Hilton is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1862.88,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.38154411315918,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T00:26:31.337939Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:03:25Z","volume":18094.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.457988739013672,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, 6-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:03:11Z","volume":1489.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.363378524780273,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P9","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST-TSTE-P9","question":"Will the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary be between 8% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Tom Steyer, 8-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Tom Steyer in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary falls within 8% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Tom Steyer minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Tom Steyer minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Tom Steyer if Tom Steyer wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Tom Steyer loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Tom Steyer wins, or the electoral votes received by Tom Steyer minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Tom Steyer does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Tom Steyer runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Tom Steyer will be summed.\n\nIf Tom Steyer wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Tom Steyer loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Tom Steyer ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Tom Steyer is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":1.0,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-05-28T00:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-10T00:03:18Z","volume":9997.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":26.00057601928711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T00:45:58.318729Z","added_at":"2026-05-28T00:07:10.601181Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/california-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-cagovprimary1st26jun021st","event_title":"California governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-CAGOVPRIMARY1ST26JUN021ST","as_of":"2026-06-10T11:38:54.660139Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"California governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 18 outcomes","source_url":null}}