{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10243.09,"volume_24hr":10243.09,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.033964157104492,"normalized_volume":20.52277183532715,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":8839.09,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"COPRIMARY01D26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Melat Kiros, 3-6%","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:41:08.166617Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:41:08.166617Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.259661Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","chart_24h":[0.0,855.59,929.09,6407.09,6543.09,9079.09],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.9750516414642334,"normalized_volume":1.7005671262741089,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T18:46:17.349556Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T18:46:17.349556Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.8200000000000001],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":2927.59,"volume_24hr":2927.59,"prob_24h_change":0.18,"volume_24h_change":2927.59,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.886260986328125,"normalized_volume":18.8445987701416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:42:42.569515Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:41:08.281895Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.18]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":2772.5,"volume_24hr":2772.5,"prob_24h_change":0.16,"volume_24h_change":2772.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.588903427124023,"normalized_volume":18.588565826416016,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:15:58.456045Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":4532.0,"volume_24hr":4532.0,"prob_24h_change":0.12,"volume_24h_change":4532.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.34744644165039,"normalized_volume":20.9637393951416,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:42:42.569515Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:41:08.281895Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.165032297372818,"normalized_volume":0.14209678769111633,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T18:46:17.349556Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T18:46:17.349556Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T18:05:29.197470Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T18:05:29.197470Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-DDEG-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Diana DeGette, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Diana DeGette in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Diana DeGette minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Diana DeGette minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Diana DeGette if Diana DeGette wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Diana DeGette loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Diana DeGette wins, or the electoral votes received by Diana DeGette minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Diana DeGette does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Diana DeGette runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Diana DeGette will be summed.\n\nIf Diana DeGette wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Diana DeGette loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Diana DeGette ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Diana DeGette is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26-MKIR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Melat Kiros, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Melat Kiros in the 2026 CO-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Melat Kiros minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Melat Kiros minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Melat Kiros if Melat Kiros wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Melat Kiros loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Melat Kiros wins, or the electoral votes received by Melat Kiros minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Melat Kiros does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Melat Kiros runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Melat Kiros will be summed.\n\nIf Melat Kiros wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Melat Kiros loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Melat Kiros ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Melat Kiros is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.030000000000000013,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-29T15:03:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-30T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-29T21:14:20.717024Z","added_at":"2026-06-29T15:10:06.350159Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/co-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-coprimary01d26","event_title":"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-COPRIMARY01D26","as_of":"2026-06-29T22:05:09.636618Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CO-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 12% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}