{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1107.33,"volume_24hr":1107.33,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.288766860961914,"normalized_volume":13.529494285583496,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":807.33,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"CTPRIMARY01D26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Luke Bronin, 5-10%","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.22,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.0,"updated_at":"2026-08-11T07:54:53.840134Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T07:54:53.840134Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.052154Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","chart_24h":[0.0,400.0,638.0,700.0,700.0,1012.0,1013.0,1013.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22,"volume_24h_change":1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.20086678862571716,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T05:29:04.990524Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T05:24:27.277449Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":94.33,"volume_24hr":94.33,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":94.33,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.683222770690918,"normalized_volume":6.465514659881592,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T08:02:43.939088Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T07:54:54.085394Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.116952896118164,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T00:30:29.822636Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"John Larson, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by John Larson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind John Larson if John Larson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if John Larson loses. If John Larson wins, the margin will be positive; if John Larson loses, the margin will be negative; if John Larson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Larson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":412.0,"volume_24hr":412.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":412.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.168668746948242,"normalized_volume":11.29456901550293,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T03:22:30.010165Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T03:18:18.299609Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"John Larson, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by John Larson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind John Larson if John Larson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if John Larson loses. If John Larson wins, the margin will be positive; if John Larson loses, the margin will be negative; if John Larson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Larson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-JLAR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"John Larson, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for John Larson in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by John Larson minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind John Larson if John Larson wins, or the candidate that finishes first if John Larson loses. If John Larson wins, the margin will be positive; if John Larson loses, the margin will be negative; if John Larson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If John Larson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T00:25:50.654933Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-10T23:09:10.726691Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-10T23:09:10.726691Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.05000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26-LBRO-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Luke Bronin, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-10T19:32:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-11T01:26:19.523416Z","added_at":"2026-08-10T19:44:28.255040Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/ct-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-ctprimary01d26","event_title":"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-CTPRIMARY01D26","as_of":"2026-08-11T09:27:38.862404Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"CT-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 5% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}