{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1575.84,"volume_24hr":1575.84,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.044986724853516,"normalized_volume":15.009629249572754,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1375.84,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"FLPRIMARY07R26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Cory Mills, 0-4%","top_outcome_probability":0.2,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.2,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":142.19,"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.557426Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.557426Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.029842Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","chart_24h":[0.0,1.7999999999999998,143.84,175.84,1575.84],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":142.19,"volume_24hr":142.19,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":142.19,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.776769638061523,"normalized_volume":7.671372890472412,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.770820Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.770820Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:37:39.617861Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:37:39.617861Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 0% and 4%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, 0-4%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:37:39.617861Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:37:39.617861Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P14","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P14","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 12% and 16%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, 12-16%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 12% to 16%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.030000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":32.15,"volume_24hr":32.15,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":32.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.862912654876709,"normalized_volume":3.815699815750122,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T13:06:34.937093Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T13:06:34.937093Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 8% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, 8-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 8% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":400.15,"volume_24hr":400.15,"prob_24h_change":0.05,"volume_24h_change":400.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.255541801452637,"normalized_volume":11.185656547546387,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":400.15,"volume_24hr":400.15,"prob_24h_change":0.02,"volume_24h_change":400.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.255541801452637,"normalized_volume":11.185656547546387,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":600.15,"volume_24hr":600.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":600.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.24444007873535,"normalized_volume":12.746252059936523,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-CMIL-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Cory Mills, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Cory Mills in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Cory Mills minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Cory Mills if Cory Mills wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Cory Mills loses. If Cory Mills wins, the margin will be positive; if Cory Mills loses, the margin will be negative; if Cory Mills ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Cory Mills runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T20:53:35.417098Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P18","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P18","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 16% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, 16-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 16% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T06:18:36.919663Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T06:18:36.919663Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P6","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26-RELI-P6","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary be between 4% and 8%?","group_item_title":"Ryan Elijah, 4-8%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ryan Elijah in the 2026 FL-07 Republican primary falls within 4% to 8%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ryan Elijah minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ryan Elijah if Ryan Elijah wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ryan Elijah loses. If Ryan Elijah wins, the margin will be positive; if Ryan Elijah loses, the margin will be negative; if Ryan Elijah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ryan Elijah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-13T22:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-18T14:00:00Z","volume":0.15,"volume_24hr":0.15,"prob_24h_change":0.01,"volume_24h_change":0.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.007749604061245918,"normalized_volume":0.006080751307308674,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.770820Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-14T14:54:22.770820Z","added_at":"2026-08-13T22:43:44.268145Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/fl-07-republican-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-flprimary07r26","event_title":"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-FLPRIMARY07R26","as_of":"2026-08-14T21:16:16.079397Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"FL-07 Republican primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}