{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3345.67,"volume_24hr":3345.67,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.12825584411621,"normalized_volume":16.349475860595703,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1796.8899999999999,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Andy Biggs, ≥15%","top_outcome_probability":0.98,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.98,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2275.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-24T13:55:10.883974Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T13:55:10.883974Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.673146Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","chart_24h":[299.41,299.41,300.67,3189.67,3345.67],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.98,0.020000000000000018],"probability":0.98,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":2275.0,"volume_24hr":2275.0,"prob_24h_change":0.98,"volume_24h_change":2275.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.635704040527344,"normalized_volume":17.48118782043457,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T13:56:51.151684Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T13:55:11.040628Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.98,0.98,0.98]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.96,0.040000000000000036],"probability":0.96,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":770.0,"volume_24hr":770.0,"prob_24h_change":0.96,"volume_24h_change":770.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.521422386169434,"normalized_volume":12.928067207336426,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T13:56:51.151684Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-24T13:55:11.040628Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.96]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P75","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P75","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 50%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥50%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.38,0.62],"probability":0.38,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":300.67,"volume_24hr":300.67,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1.259999999999991,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.711214065551758,"normalized_volume":9.535931587219238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T11:26:07.761793Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T21:11:06.706906Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 10%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T07:33:56.431358Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999898,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T08:14:20.957877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T07:49:48.632952Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P65","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 30%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-23T17:28:13.527629Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T17:28:13.527629Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P67","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P67","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 35%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥35%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T08:14:20.957877Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T07:49:48.632952Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P70","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P70","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 40%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T16:28:46.834199Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T15:51:36.550395Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P72","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26-ABIG-P72","question":"Will the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary be above 45%?","group_item_title":"Andy Biggs, ≥45%","description":"If the margin of victory for Andy Biggs in the 2026 Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 45% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Andy Biggs minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Andy Biggs minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Andy Biggs if Andy Biggs wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Andy Biggs loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Andy Biggs wins, or the electoral votes received by Andy Biggs minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Andy Biggs does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Andy Biggs runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Andy Biggs will be summed.\n\nIf Andy Biggs wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Andy Biggs loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Andy Biggs ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Andy Biggs is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-22T20:06:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-21T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-24T07:33:56.431358Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-23T06:56:55.754205Z","added_at":"2026-06-22T20:19:31.899319Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/arizona-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govaznomr26","event_title":"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVAZNOMR26","as_of":"2026-06-24T16:29:31.939721Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Arizona Republican Governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 98% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}