{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":34574.369999999995,"volume_24hr":1267.55,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.91506576538086,"normalized_volume":28.358774185180664,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":24051.12,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, ≥25%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":987.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T11:27:05.232831Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T11:27:05.232831Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","chart_24h":[0.0,100.0,987.0,1267.55],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":12625.56,"volume_24hr":987.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":987.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.052776336669922,"normalized_volume":28.936567306518555,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T13:52:29.285630Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T06:01:39.295113Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2274.46,"volume_24hr":280.55,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":280.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.408971786499023,"normalized_volume":19.38776397705078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T11:28:06.354557Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T11:27:05.300432Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-GDUN-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-GDUN-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Geoff Duncan in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Geoff Duncan wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Geoff Duncan in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Geoff Duncan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Geoff Duncan if Geoff Duncan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Geoff Duncan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Geoff Duncan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Geoff Duncan if Geoff Duncan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Geoff Duncan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Geoff Duncan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Geoff Duncan wins, or the electoral votes received by Geoff Duncan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Geoff Duncan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Geoff Duncan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Geoff Duncan will be summed.\n\nIf Geoff Duncan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Geoff Duncan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Geoff Duncan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Geoff Duncan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1846.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.356739044189453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T08:26:02.394156Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-20T23:50:03.022873Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-JEST-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-JEST-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jason Esteves in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Jason Esteves wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Jason Esteves in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Jason Esteves minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jason Esteves if Jason Esteves wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Jason Esteves loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Jason Esteves minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Jason Esteves if Jason Esteves wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Jason Esteves loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Jason Esteves minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Jason Esteves wins, or the electoral votes received by Jason Esteves minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Jason Esteves does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jason Esteves runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Jason Esteves will be summed.\n\nIf Jason Esteves wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Jason Esteves loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Jason Esteves ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Jason Esteves is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":4945.32,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.47833251953125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T20:36:43.434799Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T16:56:16.601394Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2492.92,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.85034942626953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T02:33:07.046347Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T09:09:09.203663Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1331.36,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.795848846435547,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T03:52:08.527492Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T00:18:12.026561Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2165.64,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.14272117614746,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T05:10:33.287216Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-22T02:35:28.152962Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-KBOT-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Keisha Lance Bottoms in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Keisha Lance Bottoms if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Keisha Lance Bottoms loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms wins, or the electoral votes received by Keisha Lance Bottoms minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Keisha Lance Bottoms does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Keisha Lance Bottoms runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Keisha Lance Bottoms will be summed.\n\nIf Keisha Lance Bottoms wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Keisha Lance Bottoms loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Keisha Lance Bottoms ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Keisha Lance Bottoms is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1741.95,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.073469161987305,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T08:26:02.394156Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T04:05:39.647413Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-MTHU-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26-MTHU-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Michael Thurmond in the first round of the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Michael Thurmond wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Michael Thurmond in the first round of the 2026 Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Michael Thurmond minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Thurmond if Michael Thurmond wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Michael Thurmond loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Michael Thurmond minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Michael Thurmond if Michael Thurmond wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Michael Thurmond loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Michael Thurmond minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Michael Thurmond wins, or the electoral votes received by Michael Thurmond minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Michael Thurmond does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Michael Thurmond runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Michael Thurmond will be summed.\n\nIf Michael Thurmond wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Michael Thurmond loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Michael Thurmond ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Michael Thurmond is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-04-30T14:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":5150.65,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.703392028808594,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T09:04:43.950415Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-21T11:53:13.783722Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-democratic-governor-primary-first-round-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govganomd26","event_title":"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVGANOMD26","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:08:07.455154Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Georgia Democratic Governor primary: first round margin of victory\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}