{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3456.0,"volume_24hr":3456.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.592571258544922,"normalized_volume":17.4738712310791,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3290.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Shenna Bellows wins","top_outcome_probability":0.19,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1257.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:33:21.661651Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:33:21.661651Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.267592Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","chart_24h":[0.0,1.0,1707.0,2838.0,3140.0,3440.0,3450.0,3456.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-SBEL-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-SBEL-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Shenna Bellows in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Shenna Bellows wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Shenna Bellows in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Shenna Bellows minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Shenna Bellows if Shenna Bellows wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Shenna Bellows loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Shenna Bellows minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Shenna Bellows if Shenna Bellows wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Shenna Bellows loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Shenna Bellows minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Shenna Bellows wins, or the electoral votes received by Shenna Bellows minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Shenna Bellows does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Shenna Bellows runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Shenna Bellows will be summed.\n\nIf Shenna Bellows wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Shenna Bellows loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Shenna Bellows ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Shenna Bellows is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.19,0.81],"probability":0.19,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":1257.0,"volume_24hr":1257.0,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":1257.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.21088981628418,"normalized_volume":15.614056587219238,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:24:02.206017Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:24:02.206017Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":24.0,"volume_24hr":24.0,"prob_24h_change":0.1,"volume_24h_change":24.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.110821723937988,"normalized_volume":3.175842046737671,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":24.0,"volume_24hr":24.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":24.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.110821723937988,"normalized_volume":3.175842046737671,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":812.0,"volume_24hr":812.0,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":812.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.81412696838379,"normalized_volume":13.762420654296875,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T19:55:13.669250Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T19:55:13.669250Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-TJAC-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-TJAC-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Troy Jackson wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Troy Jackson in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Troy Jackson minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Troy Jackson minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Troy Jackson if Troy Jackson wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Troy Jackson loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Troy Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Troy Jackson wins, or the electoral votes received by Troy Jackson minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Troy Jackson does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Troy Jackson runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Troy Jackson will be summed.\n\nIf Troy Jackson wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Troy Jackson loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Troy Jackson ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Troy Jackson is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":1030.0,"volume_24hr":1030.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":1030.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.099605560302734,"normalized_volume":14.755524635314941,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:24:02.206017Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:24:02.206017Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":13.0,"volume_24hr":13.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":13.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.763235092163086,"normalized_volume":2.1347553730010986,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.020000000000000004,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-NSHA-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Nirav Shah, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Nirav Shah in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Nirav Shah minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Nirav Shah minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Nirav Shah if Nirav Shah wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Nirav Shah loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Nirav Shah wins, or the electoral votes received by Nirav Shah minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Nirav Shah does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nirav Shah runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Nirav Shah will be summed.\n\nIf Nirav Shah wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Nirav Shah loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Nirav Shah ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Nirav Shah is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":12.0,"volume_24hr":12.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":12.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.6102240085601807,"normalized_volume":2.016545534133911,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T20:58:39.731124Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06,0.06,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26-HPIN-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Hannah Pingree, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Hannah Pingree in the final round of the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Hannah Pingree minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Hannah Pingree if Hannah Pingree wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Hannah Pingree loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree wins, or the electoral votes received by Hannah Pingree minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Hannah Pingree does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Hannah Pingree runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Hannah Pingree will be summed.\n\nIf Hannah Pingree wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Hannah Pingree loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Hannah Pingree ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Hannah Pingree is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-10T15:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-11-03T15:00:00Z","volume":212.0,"volume_24hr":212.0,"prob_24h_change":0.04,"volume_24h_change":212.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.40404987335205,"normalized_volume":8.810274124145508,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T21:37:07.970750Z","added_at":"2026-06-10T15:13:01.379014Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/maine-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory-final-round/kxprimarymov-govmenomd26","event_title":"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVMENOMD26","as_of":"2026-06-10T21:47:08.162947Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)\" — top market at 19% probability across 14 outcomes","source_url":null}}