{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":36239.19,"volume_24hr":238.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.088786125183105,"normalized_volume":29.01317596435547,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":19424.91,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Gregg Hull, 9-12%","top_outcome_probability":0.92,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-398.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:29:31.861038Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:29:31.861038Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.410855Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","chart_24h":[479.51,93.51,0.0,0.0,114.0,238.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Gregg Hull, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gregg Hull runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Gregg Hull will be summed.\n\nIf Gregg Hull wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Gregg Hull loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Gregg Hull ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Gregg Hull is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.019999999999999997,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":6162.22,"volume_24hr":125.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":125.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.234758377075195,"normalized_volume":23.340824127197266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T12:31:02.694482Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T12:29:31.986320Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Gregg Hull, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gregg Hull runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Gregg Hull will be summed.\n\nIf Gregg Hull wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Gregg Hull loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Gregg Hull ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Gregg Hull is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":6242.22,"volume_24hr":113.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":113.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.856499671936035,"normalized_volume":23.409866333007812,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T03:11:40.419753Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T01:12:25.284498Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Gregg Hull, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gregg Hull runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Gregg Hull will be summed.\n\nIf Gregg Hull wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Gregg Hull loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Gregg Hull ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Gregg Hull is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":6101.79,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-398.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.288143157958984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T21:04:45.620611Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:02:56.524390Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.92,0.92,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Gregg Hull, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gregg Hull runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Gregg Hull will be summed.\n\nIf Gregg Hull wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Gregg Hull loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Gregg Hull ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Gregg Hull is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1950.01,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.593090057373047,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:04:45.364103Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-07T03:20:33.373377Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Doug Turner, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doug Turner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Doug Turner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Doug Turner wins, or the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Doug Turner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doug Turner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doug Turner will be summed.\n\nIf Doug Turner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doug Turner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doug Turner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doug Turner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":5187.78,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.429248809814453,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T15:42:07.355926Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T14:49:02.034287Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Doug Turner, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doug Turner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Doug Turner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Doug Turner wins, or the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Doug Turner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doug Turner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doug Turner will be summed.\n\nIf Doug Turner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doug Turner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doug Turner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doug Turner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1648.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.821285247802734,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:50:29.321543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T11:33:24.413198Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P54","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P54","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be above 9%?","group_item_title":"Doug Turner, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doug Turner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Doug Turner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Doug Turner wins, or the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Doug Turner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doug Turner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doug Turner will be summed.\n\nIf Doug Turner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doug Turner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doug Turner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doug Turner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":5263.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":22.50478744506836,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T16:07:56.411505Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T14:01:44.060032Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-DTUR-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Doug Turner, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Doug Turner in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Doug Turner minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Doug Turner minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Doug Turner if Doug Turner wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Doug Turner loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Doug Turner wins, or the electoral votes received by Doug Turner minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Doug Turner does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Doug Turner runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Doug Turner will be summed.\n\nIf Doug Turner wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Doug Turner loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Doug Turner ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Doug Turner is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1757.22,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.113183975219727,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T14:50:29.321543Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T11:33:24.413198Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26-GHUL-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Gregg Hull, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Gregg Hull in the 2026 New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Gregg Hull minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Gregg Hull minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Gregg Hull if Gregg Hull wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Gregg Hull loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Gregg Hull wins, or the electoral votes received by Gregg Hull minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Gregg Hull does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Gregg Hull runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Gregg Hull will be summed.\n\nIf Gregg Hull wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Gregg Hull loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Gregg Hull ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Gregg Hull is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-02T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":1926.73,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.537384033203125,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T14:49:10.923621Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T21:56:09.488533Z","added_at":"2026-06-02T19:56:49.701043Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/new-mexico-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govnmnomr26","event_title":"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVNMNOMR26","as_of":"2026-06-10T15:20:46.796143Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"New Mexico Republican Governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 3% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}