{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14693.49,"volume_24hr":1178.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.570247650146484,"normalized_volume":23.905118942260742,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":12574.99,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Christine Drazan, 5-10%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":10.0,"updated_at":"2026-05-26T04:56:35.948612Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T04:56:35.948612Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:33.602648Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","chart_24h":[1168.0,1178.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.020000000000000018,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":551.49,"volume_24hr":10.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":10.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.062058448791504,"normalized_volume":12.937334060668945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T04:57:36.631493Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-26T04:56:36.033311Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2654.0,"volume_24hr":695.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":695.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.364068984985352,"normalized_volume":20.169307708740234,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-25T19:17:48.317992Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T19:16:35.249223Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":2185.0,"volume_24hr":473.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.613574981689453,"normalized_volume":19.187088012695312,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T09:56:52.880621Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T19:16:35.249223Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":144.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":8.036455154418945,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T13:00:10.696317Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T05:30:18.925474Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":3204.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.144058227539062,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T04:31:30.979369Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-24T04:03:35.403166Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-CDRA-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Christine Drazan, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Christine Drazan in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Christine Drazan minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Christine Drazan minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Christine Drazan if Christine Drazan wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Christine Drazan loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Christine Drazan wins, or the electoral votes received by Christine Drazan minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Christine Drazan does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Christine Drazan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Christine Drazan will be summed.\n\nIf Christine Drazan wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Christine Drazan loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Christine Drazan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Christine Drazan is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":350.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":11.145190238952637,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T01:27:20.279505Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-25T04:38:01.620954Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Ed Diehl, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Diehl minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Diehl minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Diehl wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Diehl does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Diehl runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Diehl will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Diehl wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Diehl loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Diehl ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Diehl is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1254.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.517730712890625,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T01:14:12.776366Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T22:25:02.511277Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Ed Diehl, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Diehl minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Diehl minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Diehl wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Diehl does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Diehl runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Diehl will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Diehl wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Diehl loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Diehl ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Diehl is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1248.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.49555015563965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T01:53:49.027563Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T22:25:02.511277Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Ed Diehl, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Diehl minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Diehl minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Diehl wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Diehl does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Diehl runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Diehl will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Diehl wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Diehl loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Diehl ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Diehl is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1855.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":18.37912368774414,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T01:14:12.776366Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T22:25:02.511277Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26-EDIE-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Ed Diehl, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Diehl in the 2026 Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Diehl minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Diehl minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Diehl if Ed Diehl wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Diehl loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Diehl wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Diehl minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Diehl does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Diehl runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Ed Diehl will be summed.\n\nIf Ed Diehl wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Ed Diehl loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Ed Diehl ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Ed Diehl is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-05-18T16:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-05-19T14:00:00Z","volume":1248.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":16.49555015563965,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"updated_at":"2026-05-26T01:53:49.027563Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-23T22:25:02.511277Z","added_at":"2026-05-18T16:34:34.052236Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/oregon-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govornomr26","event_title":"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVORNOMR26","as_of":"2026-05-26T16:08:07.086480Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Oregon Republican Governor primary: margin of victory?\" — top market at 1% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}