{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":865.0,"volume_24hr":765.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.098467826843262,"normalized_volume":10.223004341125488,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":865.0,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"GOVSDNOMRLRHO","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Larry Rhoden, ≥10%","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.94,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":100.0,"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:29:59.116620Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:29:59.116620Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:30.998006Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","chart_24h":[100.0,140.0,850.0,865.0,765.0],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P55","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P55","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 10%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 10% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.039999999999999925,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.148489952087402,"normalized_volume":5.543083667755127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 20%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.91,0.08999999999999997],"probability":0.91,"spread":0.019999999999999907,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":45.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":0.91,"volume_24h_change":45.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.6079020500183105,"normalized_volume":3.8148257732391357,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.91]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 25%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.89,0.10999999999999999],"probability":0.89,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":305.0,"volume_24hr":305.0,"prob_24h_change":0.89,"volume_24h_change":305.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.532777786254883,"normalized_volume":8.525534629821777,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.89,0.89,0.89]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P65","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 30%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":305.0,"volume_24hr":305.0,"prob_24h_change":0.74,"volume_24h_change":305.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.532777786254883,"normalized_volume":8.525534629821777,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T19:48:03.039463Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.74,0.74,0.74]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P67","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P67","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 35%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥35%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 35% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.62,0.38],"probability":0.62,"spread":0.050000000000000044,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.62,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2282038927078247,"normalized_volume":0.835496723651886,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.62,0.62,0.62]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P70","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P70","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 40%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥40%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 40% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.37,0.63],"probability":0.37,"spread":0.04999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.37,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2282038927078247,"normalized_volume":0.835496723651886,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.37,0.37,0.37]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.543083667755127,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-25T23:31:55.342388Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-25T23:29:59.229892Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P72","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P72","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 45%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥45%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 45% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P75","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO-LRHO-P75","question":"Will the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff be at least 50%?","group_item_title":"Larry Rhoden, ≥50%","description":"If the margin of victory for Larry Rhoden in the 2026 South Dakota Republican gubernatorial runoff falls within 50% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Larry Rhoden minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Larry Rhoden if Larry Rhoden wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Larry Rhoden loses. If Larry Rhoden wins, the margin will be positive; if Larry Rhoden loses, the margin will be negative; if Larry Rhoden ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Larry Rhoden runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-24T14:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-07-28T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-26T00:11:44.823335Z","added_at":"2026-07-24T14:32:31.138678Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/south-dakota-republican-governor-runoff-margin-of-victory-higher-strikes/kxprimarymov-govsdnomrlrho","event_title":"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVSDNOMRLRHO","as_of":"2026-07-26T01:48:35.880014Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"South Dakota Republican Governor runoff margin of victory? (Higher strikes)\" — top market at 89% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}