{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1624.1499999999999,"volume_24hr":1333.8700000000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.514341354370117,"normalized_volume":15.047111511230469,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":1259.65,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"GOVTNNOMR226","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥3%","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.94,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1.05,"updated_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.170637Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.170637Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:28.938130Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","chart_24h":[290.28,390.28,531.46,831.46,868.46,893.62,898.62,903.62,907.86,925.8,977.0699999999999,977.0699999999999,1124.27,1125.32,1288.07,1333.8700000000001],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P51","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P51","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 3%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06000000000000005],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.029999999999999916,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":1.05,"volume_24hr":1.05,"prob_24h_change":0.94,"volume_24h_change":1.05,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.21244893968105316,"normalized_volume":0.16041110455989838,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:05:42.376286Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:05:42.376286Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P53","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P53","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 6%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.92,0.07999999999999996],"probability":0.92,"spread":0.07000000000000006,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":54.04,"volume_24hr":54.04,"prob_24h_change":0.92,"volume_24h_change":54.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.623201847076416,"normalized_volume":5.000896453857422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T20:06:43.117000Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.390419Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.92]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P54","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P54","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 9%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.87,0.13],"probability":0.87,"spread":0.07999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":17.08,"volume_24hr":17.08,"prob_24h_change":0.87,"volume_24h_change":17.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4549243450164795,"normalized_volume":2.608665704727173,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T20:06:43.117000Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.390419Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.87]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P56","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P56","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 12%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.06999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":93.52,"volume_24hr":4.24,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":-85.04,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.131068229675293,"normalized_volume":6.441325664520264,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:50:46.355040Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:50:46.355040Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.55,0.44999999999999996],"probability":0.55,"spread":0.04999999999999993,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":671.41,"volume_24hr":471.41,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":271.41,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.633540153503418,"normalized_volume":13.196453094482422,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T20:18:18.254126Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T20:18:18.254126Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P59","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P59","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 18%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥18%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 18% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.28,0.72],"probability":0.28,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":410.37,"volume_24hr":410.37,"prob_24h_change":0.28,"volume_24h_change":410.37,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.938925743103027,"normalized_volume":11.279743194580078,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.390419Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T20:04:21.390419Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 21%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥21%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 21% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":275.68,"volume_24hr":275.68,"prob_24h_change":0.15,"volume_24h_change":275.68,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.0350980758667,"normalized_volume":9.842245101928711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:38:55.601816Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:35:50.438414Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 24%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥24%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 24% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.781437873840332,"normalized_volume":6.63048791885376,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:38:00.781290Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:35:50.438414Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P65","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P65","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 30%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥30%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 30% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":1.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.14956511557102203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:52:49.201609Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:50:46.355040Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P63","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226-MBLA-P63","question":"Will the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary be at least 27%?","group_item_title":"Marsha Blackburn, ≥27%","description":"If the margin of victory for Marsha Blackburn in the 2026 Tennessee Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 27% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Marsha Blackburn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Marsha Blackburn if Marsha Blackburn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Marsha Blackburn loses. If Marsha Blackburn wins, the margin will be positive; if Marsha Blackburn loses, the margin will be negative; if Marsha Blackburn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Marsha Blackburn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.06999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:54:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-06T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-06T19:35:50.438414Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-06T19:35:50.438414Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/tennessee-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govtnnomr226","event_title":"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVTNNOMR226","as_of":"2026-08-06T20:23:36.673060Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Tennessee Republican Governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 55% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}