{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":234.03,"volume_24hr":192.03,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.267061233520508,"normalized_volume":6.66079044342041,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":227.03,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Francesca Hong, 9-12%","top_outcome_probability":0.1,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.01,"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:40:51.050644Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:40:51.050644Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.793659Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","chart_24h":[43.0,234.03,192.03],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":57.01,"volume_24hr":53.01,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":49.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.569113254547119,"normalized_volume":4.291104316711426,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":57.01,"volume_24hr":53.01,"prob_24h_change":0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":49.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.569113254547119,"normalized_volume":4.291104316711426,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":66.01,"volume_24hr":60.01,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":54.01,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.976614952087402,"normalized_volume":4.601343631744385,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.1,0.1]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.03,0.97],"probability":0.03,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":27.0,"volume_24hr":25.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":23.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.3819732666015625,"normalized_volume":2.8896725177764893,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.009999999999999998,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":10.0,"volume_24hr":1.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-8.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.19833198189735413,"normalized_volume":1.4963933229446411,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:42:45.472007Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:40:51.270160Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.6741147041320801,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.9299999999999999],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.6741147041320801,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":4.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-4.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.6741147041320801,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-FHON-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Francesca Hong, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Francesca Hong in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Francesca Hong minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Francesca Hong if Francesca Hong wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Francesca Hong loses. If Francesca Hong wins, the margin will be positive; if Francesca Hong loses, the margin will be negative; if Francesca Hong ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Francesca Hong runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":0.835496723651886,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-21T16:29:21.316259Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-21T16:27:01.115742Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.010000000000000002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T22:12:37.371746Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T22:12:37.371746Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T21:45:52.396091Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T21:45:52.396091Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26-DCRO-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"David Crowley, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by David Crowley minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind David Crowley if David Crowley wins, or the candidate that finishes first if David Crowley loses. If David Crowley wins, the margin will be positive; if David Crowley loses, the margin will be negative; if David Crowley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If David Crowley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-07-20T15:42:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-11T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-07-20T21:45:52.396091Z","fetched_at":"2026-07-20T21:45:52.396091Z","added_at":"2026-07-20T15:51:29.922714Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/wisconsin-democratic-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-govwinomd26","event_title":"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-GOVWINOMD26","as_of":"2026-07-21T18:03:56.180451Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 10% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}