{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3016.36,"volume_24hr":2796.69,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.420791625976562,"normalized_volume":17.67123031616211,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":2972.36,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ed Case, 0-3%","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1.16,"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.549151Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.549151Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:28.938130Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","chart_24h":[906.16,905.0,910.0,927.0,932.0,2001.69,1996.69,2796.69],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.009999999999999981,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":194.0,"volume_24hr":17.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":17.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.4694433212280273,"normalized_volume":8.655553817749023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:03:49.963147Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T01:13:40.810808Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P4","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P4","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 3% and 6%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, 3-6%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":458.77,"volume_24hr":458.77,"prob_24h_change":0.039999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":158.76999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.609042167663574,"normalized_volume":11.700468063354492,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T00:58:50.911958Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T00:58:50.911958Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":811.15,"volume_24hr":809.15,"prob_24h_change":0.07,"volume_24h_change":809.15,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.626935958862305,"normalized_volume":13.972951889038086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":215.0,"volume_24hr":210.0,"prob_24h_change":0.049999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":205.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.89492130279541,"normalized_volume":8.994588851928711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:18:46.548432Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.049999999999999996,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":701.77,"volume_24hr":701.77,"prob_24h_change":0.09,"volume_24h_change":701.77,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.844390869140625,"normalized_volume":13.376075744628906,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T00:44:33.561059Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T00:44:33.561059Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.06,0.94],"probability":0.06,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":600.0,"volume_24hr":600.0,"prob_24h_change":0.06,"volume_24h_change":600.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.002845764160156,"normalized_volume":12.745257377624512,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:18:46.548432Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.06]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":13.16,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1.16,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":2.186800479888916,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T03:19:55.873325Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T21:39:07.129074Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P1","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P1","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 0% and 3%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, 0-3%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.04000000000000001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":22.51,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":3.103456735610962,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P10","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P10","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 9% and 12%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, 9-12%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 9% to 12%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.039999999999999994,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-ECAS-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 6% and 9%?","group_item_title":"Ed Case, 6-9%","description":"If the margin of victory for Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 6% to 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Case minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Case if Ed Case wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Case loses. If Ed Case wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Case loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Case ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Ed Case runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.01999999999999999,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-08T04:15:51.761493Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P13","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26-JKEO-P13","question":"Will the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary be between 12% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Jarrett Keohokalole, 12-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Jarrett Keohokalole in the 2026 HI-01 Democratic primary falls within 12% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory is the vote share received by Jarrett Keohokalole minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Jarrett Keohokalole if Jarrett Keohokalole wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Jarrett Keohokalole loses. If Jarrett Keohokalole wins, the margin will be positive; if Jarrett Keohokalole loses, the margin will be negative; if Jarrett Keohokalole ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Jarrett Keohokalole runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-08-05T17:59:00Z","end_date":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-08-08T14:00:00Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-08-07T16:52:18.782942Z","fetched_at":"2026-08-07T16:52:18.782942Z","added_at":"2026-08-05T17:59:29.137015Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/hi-01-democratic-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-hi01d26","event_title":"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-HI01D26","as_of":"2026-08-08T04:47:36.201442Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"HI-01 Democratic primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 11% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}