{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":37769.28,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":29.247081756591797,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":27951.89,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXGOVIANOMR26","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Zach Lahn, 0-5%","top_outcome_probability":0.99,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-05T15:31:17.510960Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T15:31:17.510960Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.228553Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","chart_24h":null,"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Zach Lahn, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Zach Lahn minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Zach Lahn minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Zach Lahn wins, or the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Zach Lahn does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Zach Lahn will be summed.\n\nIf Zach Lahn wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Zach Lahn loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Zach Lahn is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.99,0.010000000000000009],"probability":0.99,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":4691.42,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.90506362915039,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T10:22:30.654651Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T15:31:17.643869Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Randy Feenstra, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Feenstra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Randy Feenstra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Randy Feenstra will be summed.\n\nIf Randy Feenstra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Randy Feenstra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Randy Feenstra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Randy Feenstra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":3668.43,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.649194717407227,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:57:05.743940Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:41:56.347393Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Randy Feenstra, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Feenstra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Randy Feenstra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Randy Feenstra will be summed.\n\nIf Randy Feenstra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Randy Feenstra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Randy Feenstra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Randy Feenstra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":3953.76,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.02769660949707,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:20:13.656674Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T02:50:47.521963Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Randy Feenstra, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Feenstra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Randy Feenstra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Randy Feenstra will be summed.\n\nIf Randy Feenstra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Randy Feenstra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Randy Feenstra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Randy Feenstra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":3058.18,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.744138717651367,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:04:45.364103Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-05T03:13:27.046756Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P60","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P60","question":"Will the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be above 20%?","group_item_title":"Randy Feenstra, ≥20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Feenstra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Randy Feenstra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Randy Feenstra will be summed.\n\nIf Randy Feenstra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Randy Feenstra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Randy Feenstra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Randy Feenstra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":7716.16,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":24.559139251708984,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:20:13.656674Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T02:50:47.521963Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-RFEE-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Randy Feenstra, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Randy Feenstra in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Randy Feenstra minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Randy Feenstra if Randy Feenstra wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Randy Feenstra loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra wins, or the electoral votes received by Randy Feenstra minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Randy Feenstra does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Randy Feenstra runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Randy Feenstra will be summed.\n\nIf Randy Feenstra wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Randy Feenstra loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Randy Feenstra ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Randy Feenstra is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":3705.45,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.69973373413086,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T16:23:50.711997Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Zach Lahn, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Zach Lahn minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Zach Lahn minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Zach Lahn wins, or the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Zach Lahn does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Zach Lahn will be summed.\n\nIf Zach Lahn wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Zach Lahn loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Zach Lahn is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":2641.3,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":19.029935836791992,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:20:13.656674Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T03:03:50.793019Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P57","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P57","question":"Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be above 15%?","group_item_title":"Zach Lahn, ≥15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 15% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Zach Lahn minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Zach Lahn minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Zach Lahn wins, or the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Zach Lahn does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Zach Lahn will be summed.\n\nIf Zach Lahn wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Zach Lahn loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Zach Lahn is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":4160.04,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.286657333374023,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T08:33:52.905385Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T04:09:24.153514Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26-ZLAH-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Zach Lahn, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 Iowa Republican gubernatorial primary falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Zach Lahn minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Zach Lahn minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Zach Lahn wins, or the electoral votes received by Zach Lahn minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Zach Lahn does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Zach Lahn will be summed.\n\nIf Zach Lahn wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Zach Lahn loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Zach Lahn is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.01,0.99],"probability":0.01,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-01T15:30:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-02T14:00:00Z","volume":4174.54,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.304431915283203,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:42:18.363732Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-04T15:18:32.454244Z","added_at":"2026-06-01T15:33:58.339374Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/iowa-republican-governor-primary-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxgovianomr26","event_title":"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.01,0.01]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-KXGOVIANOMR26","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:27:18.827876Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Iowa Republican Governor primary margin of victory?\" — top market at 99% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}