{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","ticker":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","description":null,"image":null,"icon":null,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5274.860000000001,"volume_24hr":962.35,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.51410484313965,"normalized_volume":19.342708587646484,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":3100.89,"categories":["Elections"],"tags":[],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":"KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Mike Collins, ≥25%","top_outcome_probability":0.22,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":-1960.9499999999998,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:18:53.930556Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:18:53.930556Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.693354Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","chart_24h":[4386.75,4417.75,4418.75,4451.5,4455.81,1472.81,1443.3,1873.8,2240.8,940.8,962.35],"markets":[{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P62","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P62","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be above 25%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, ≥25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 25% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":2869.36,"volume_24hr":456.36,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-1960.9499999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.791891098022461,"normalized_volume":19.43192481994629,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T07:20:13.656674Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T07:18:54.079994Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-DDOO-P50","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-DDOO-P50","question":"Will the margin of victory for Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be above 0%?","group_item_title":"Derek Dooley wins","description":"If the margin of victory for Derek Dooley in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Derek Dooley minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Derek Dooley minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Derek Dooley if Derek Dooley wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Derek Dooley loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Derek Dooley wins, or the electoral votes received by Derek Dooley minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Derek Dooley does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Derek Dooley runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Derek Dooley will be summed.\n\nIf Derek Dooley wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Derek Dooley loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Derek Dooley ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Derek Dooley is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":189.0,"volume_24hr":189.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.85352611541748,"normalized_volume":8.438719749450684,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:30:10.823493Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:34:35.073914Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P22","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P22","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be between 20% and 25%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, 20-25%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 20% to 25%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":15.66,"volume_24hr":15.66,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.1195178031921387,"normalized_volume":2.42545485496521,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T22:23:44.790474Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:50:00.018154Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P7","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P7","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be between 5% and 10%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, 5-10%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":2002.97,"volume_24hr":103.46,"prob_24h_change":-0.03,"volume_24h_change":-1827.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.519758224487305,"normalized_volume":17.717700958251953,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T06:30:10.823493Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:47:41.257876Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P12","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P12","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be between 10% and 15%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, 10-15%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 10% to 15%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":42.78,"volume_24hr":42.78,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.630399703979492,"normalized_volume":4.377689361572266,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T18:16:39.272291Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T13:18:52.212626Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P17","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P17","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be between 15% and 20%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, 15-20%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.009999999999999995,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":17.09,"volume_24hr":17.09,"prob_24h_change":0.11,"volume_24h_change":17.09,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.3048341274261475,"normalized_volume":2.569540023803711,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-09T20:51:23.217626Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T20:50:00.018154Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.11]},{"source":"kalshi","id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P2","event_id":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","slug":"KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO-MCOL-P2","question":"Will the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff be between 0% and 5%?","group_item_title":"Mike Collins, 0-5%","description":"If the margin of victory for Mike Collins in the 2026 Georgia Republican Senate runoff falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\n---\n\nThe margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.\n\nFor percentage points: the vote percentage received by Mike Collins minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor raw votes: the total votes received by Mike Collins minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Mike Collins if Mike Collins wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Mike Collins loses.\nFor electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Mike Collins wins, or the electoral votes received by Mike Collins minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Mike Collins does not.\n\nEach margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Mike Collins runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural Mike Collins will be summed.\n\nIf Mike Collins wins the election, the margin will be positive. If Mike Collins loses the election, the margin will be negative. If Mike Collins ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where Mike Collins is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).","image":null,"icon":null,"outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.010000000000000009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-06-08T17:00:00Z","end_date":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","closed_time":"2027-06-16T14:00:00Z","volume":138.0,"volume_24hr":138.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":137.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.599010467529297,"normalized_volume":7.463322162628174,"liquidity":null,"categories":["Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:36:16.927558Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T04:34:35.073914Z","added_at":"2026-06-08T17:06:26.895183Z","url":"https://kalshi.com/markets/kxprimarymov/georgia-republican-senate-runoff-margin-of-victory/kxprimarymov-kxsenategar262rddoo","event_title":"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.1,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/kalshi/KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEGAR262RDDOO","as_of":"2026-06-10T09:29:35.332615Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Kalshi): \"Georgia Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?\" — top market at 22% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}